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Old 07-19-2012, 02:23 PM  
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
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Obama is going to lose big time
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:00 PM   #61
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Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
I agree with ChiefaRoo and BEP's Vegas oddsmaker. If the over/under is a 30 electoral vote victory by Romney, I'm taking the over.

(But I still won't bet sigs or leaving forever, Direckshun. )
He didn't even talk about the Bradley effect.
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:03 PM   #62
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Originally Posted by qabbaan View Post
I don't think landslides are possible anymore, but I do think he is going to lose.
I remember people bragging about their 2 homes going for a third because "real estate never goes down, they aren't making anymore of it".

Real smart way to look at the world.
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:20 PM   #63
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That's not what most credible electoral college analysis and polling suggests.

For the RWNJ crowd, a "close" election is as good as it gets....

Dittos to Rush, though!
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Old 07-19-2012, 06:28 PM   #64
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I don't predict elections. I am just conveying information.
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Old 07-19-2012, 08:26 PM   #65
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Romney picks up Indiana and north Carolina. Other than that it's a repeat of 2008
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Old 07-19-2012, 08:33 PM   #66
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
+1

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Old 07-19-2012, 08:54 PM   #67
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No one wants to bet.. Cosmo disappeared like a fart in the wind.

Is that Intrade thing for reals? Anyone ever used it?
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Old 07-19-2012, 08:54 PM   #68
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Anyone who takes this bet is a fooland deserves to lose their money. He wants the odds in his favor that way if he wins, he cleans up but if he loses his losses are minimized. THEN he does not define what he considers to be a landslide but leaves it open to interpretation. Not what I would call confidence.
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Old 07-19-2012, 08:56 PM   #69
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tredadda View Post
Anyone who takes this bet is a fooland deserves to lose their money. He wants the odds in his favor that way if he wins, he cleans up but if he loses his losses are minimized. THEN he does not define what he considers to be a landslide but leaves it open to interpretation. Not what I would call confidence.
Heh, you don't read well.

The bet is Romney wins period. I want the juice because I'm the house. It's not that much different than betting in a casino.
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Old 07-19-2012, 09:04 PM   #70
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Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
To be honest with you I haven't done the math. I'll define it like this. Romney wins every state McCain won plus he wins Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, Florida, Ohio, Colorado, Missouri, Iowa and New Hampshire. Maybe New Mexico and maybe Wisconsin.
I'll take that bet $1,000 straight up unless your nuts are too tiny as previously mentioned.
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Old 07-19-2012, 09:05 PM   #71
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Hell lets make it $5,000 why **** around. No sense dealing in chump change. I'll escrow mine if you do.
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Old 07-19-2012, 09:12 PM   #72
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Old 07-19-2012, 09:13 PM   #73
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
Heh, you don't read well.

The bet is Romney wins period. I want the juice because I'm the house. It's not that much different than betting in a casino.
Did you not state in the OP that he would win in an electoral landslide? Was that not the bet? Have you not failed to define what qualifies as a landslide? If you did indeed state what qualifies as a landslide, which post was it so I can go back and reread it? Man up make a bet straight up. Hiding behind the statement "I want the juice because I'm the house." is cowardice and shows a lack of confidence in your bet. Again, you call it how you want, but you are trying to maximize your return if you win, but minimize your loss if you lose because you are not 100% certain what you are betting will come out as you think it will. If you were you would make the bet straight up because you would be that confident of a victory. I will not make that foolish bet with you and anyone who does is a fool, especially since you are stacking the odds in your favor as much as possible.
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Old 07-19-2012, 10:16 PM   #74
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Old 07-19-2012, 11:02 PM   #75
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Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
No one wants to bet.. Cosmo disappeared like a fart in the wind.

Is that Intrade thing for reals? Anyone ever used it?
I'm going to bet cash with someone I don't know who comes in spouting off like a nut about undefined "landslides" and wants odds?
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