Patrick Mahomes Question Looms Large as Alex Smith Continues to Struggle

[RunKC]

Patrick Mahomes Question Looms Large as Alex Smith's Struggles Continue

Jamie Squire/Getty Images
Patrick Mahomes Question Looms Large as Alex Smith's Struggles Continue

BRENT SOBLESKI
NOVEMBER 19, 2017
Alex Smith has gone full Alex Smith over the last five weeks, and the Kansas City Chiefs need some type of spark to revert back to the squad that opened the year 5-0 with impressive victories over the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles.

Head coach Andy Reid must consider the possibility of making a change at quarterback after Sunday's 12-9 overtime loss to the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium.

A move of this magnitude isn't taken lightly, nor is it a knee-jerk reaction to the losses. Even the best teams struggle. Any given Sunday, right? But it's how the Chiefs continue to lose and Smith's role in their recent downturn that makes a switch at the game's most important position a legitimate possibility.

Patrick Mahomes is Smith's polar opposite, and the rookie's playmaking ability could send a charge throughout the entire organization.

For years, Smith earned the designation of the quintessential game manager. He was good enough to win games as part of a talented core, but he wasn't the type of quarterback who took over games. He made the expected plays and didn't turn the ball over, yet he lacked big-time throws.

His game began to evolve under Reid's supervision. The veteran signal-caller took on more responsibilities to create as both a passer and runner, especially after a knee injury cut Jamaal Charles' career in Kansas City short.

Smith started to look more like the quarterback once deemed an elite talent and drafted No. 1 overall coming out of Utah. His skill set evolved further this year with a vertical component added to the mix. Smith made deeps throws during his career, but his game was primarily built around precision passing and getting the ball out quickly. This is where he excelled.

The Chiefs found weapons in wide receiver Tyreek Hill, tight end Travis Kelce and rookie running back Kareem Hunt to help Smith become the ultimate distributor. The 33-year-old quarterback was an MVP candidate a month ago after catering to each of his dynamic weapons.

The Kansas City quarterback completed 76.6 percent of his passes for 1,391 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions during the team's 5-0 start.

Life came at Smith fast, though.

During the next five games, Smith's stats dovetailed to a 62.9 completion percentage, 1,283 passing yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions.

On the surface, those numbers aren't horrible. But he hasn't been nearly as efficient or dynamic. Smith has looked uncomfortable behind a reshuffled offensive line. He hasn't been nearly as accurate and made some terrible throws. The explosive plays just haven't been as prevalent, either.

Yes, Smith is willing to lay it on the line to win. On Sunday, he showed how much far he'll go during the final drive that led to the Chiefs' game-tying field goal and forced overtime, per NFL.com:

Aside from an ill-advised interception that would have killed Kansas City's final regulation drive if not for being called back due to pass interference, Smith completed five of six passes—including a 32-yard strike to Kelce.

Smith gave his team a chance to win, but it wasn't enough. The fact Kansas City had to battle for every yard is an indictment of the offense's current direction.

The Giants pass defense ranked 30th overall entering in the contest. The disappointing group surrendered 267.8 passing yards on average. Smith managed 230 yards and threw a pair of interceptions, which tripled his season total, per NFL Research:

Two factors make Smith's lackluster performance even more damning.

First, the Chiefs came off their bye week and provided a level of play bordering on lethargic. Second, Smith couldn't even replicate the success lesser quarterbacks experienced against the Giants in recent weeks, as Arrowhead Pride's Ryan Hall noted:

Not producing to the level of Jared Goff, Russell Wilson or even Philip Rivers isn't a crime. Not being able to play as well as Trevor Siemian or C.J. Beathard is a travesty.

Smith's regressed to his mean. Recent history shows it's not enough. In some ways, the organization has alluded to the fact it's preparing for life without Smith. The Chiefs made a bold decision in April by trading up 17 slots in the first round to acquire Mahomes.

The Texas Tech product is a pure gunslinger. Mahomes is everything Smith isn't. The 6'2" 225-pound quarterback displayed rare arm talent during his collegiate career. Scouts still viewed Mahomes as a project despite throwing for 5,052 yards and 41 touchdowns as a junior. His game isn't based on precision or efficiency. He's a big-play machine and can make throws other quarterbacks can't. WBIW-TV's Chris Lilly provided a preseason example:

The Chiefs may follow through on drafting Mahomes by moving past Smith this offseason. The franchise can save $17 million against the salary cap with his release, per Spotrac.

Why wait to make a move?

Kansas City isn't winning with Smith, and he's not playing well. Yes, Mahomes is going to make mistakes, but his penchant for big plays is exactly what the Chiefs lack.

A counter-argument is easily made: The Chiefs are 6-4, still lead the AFC West by two games and Mahomes isn't ready.

So what?

Reid and his offensive staff are counted among the league's most creative play-callers, and the group can build around the rookie's multifaceted skill set. Plus, the move wouldn't be made based just on this season. Mahomes is the face of the franchise; he just hasn't taken the field yet.

"I mean, you don't get any days off," Mahomes said on Nov. 9, per the Kansas City Star's Terez A. Paylor. "You do, but at quarterback, you don't. So you're watching film every single day, trying to make sure you're prepared and ready. That's something you hear about, you talk about, but until you're here, you don’t actually know what it’s like."

There's no reason to keep an ace off the mound in favor of a long-term reliever. Since the Chiefs do have some wiggle room in the AFC West, the option to bring the veteran off the bench exists if the first-year signal-caller struggles.

Smith is who he is. The Chiefs knew what they had at the position and chose to make a big move and acquire Mahomes. Being bold to acquire a special talent doesn't stop once the draft is complete.

After four losses in five games, there's no reason for the Chiefs to remain conservative. It's time to unleash Mahomes.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/syndica...tinue.amp.html

[Ming the Merciless]

Originally Posted by lcarus

The only way Mahomes sees the field this year is if we fall to 9 losses

The leash is MUCH shorter than that. If we lose to the bills due to poor offense....thats it....i m o

[RippedmyFlesh]

Originally Posted by loochy

¿Can you run hail mary on 1st and 10 an your own 20?

With Mahomes it would be fun to watch.

[Gravedigger]

Originally Posted by Pawnmower

The leash is MUCH shorter than that. If we lose to the bills due to poor offense....thats it....i m o

Once the attendance starts to drop below the normal November/December threshold, you'll see a change. Luckily not alot of people will want to go out to the games just because of the lackluster matchups.

[lcarus]

Originally Posted by Pawnmower

The leash is MUCH shorter than that. If we lose to the bills due to poor offense....thats it....i m o

I wish I could believe that. But I feel pretty damn sure as long as we're in the division lead they're gonna play this shit out. I pray I'm wrong. If we lose to Buffalo and the offense puts up 10 pts...I mean for ****s sake the Giants loss should be the end!

[ARROW2]

Mutha****as admit we ain't going nowhere with Alex but want to stick with him? WHAT ****ING SENSE DOES THAT MAKE? Just to argue with MY ASS and you want to be right? You stupid as a mutha****a. Quit being a little bitch and admit the truth. **** your little personal feeling towards me. MAN UP!!!!

[WhiteWhale]

Originally Posted by thegame214

Same here.

People think the gimmick plays are just Andy being crazy.

Its because he has to hide Alex's flaws.

Watch McNabb/Vick/ Garcia hell even Kolb and you'll see an entirely different offense

It's what I said all day after the game.

Wentz and Goff are doing more drop-back-and-read-the-defense than Alex. Even when KC was thriving early they only called 10 or 15 drop back passes per game. Less than half of his pass attempts required him to read the defense.

Drop back
Shuffle
Shuffle
Scramble/sack

That's Alex's cover 2 breaker. Panic and run. Teams are demanding Alex beat them with drop back quarterbacking, and he can't even whip the Giants or Cowboys bad defenses.

[Tribal Warfare]

As I said before PMII is Chase Daniel 2.0 in Andy's mind and he'll ride it out with Alex unless he gets injured then Mahomes will get his chance. Furthermore, next season is when our Christmas present will be unwrapped in the form of PMII wearing #5 as his jersey .

[WhiteWhale]

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare

As I said before PMII is Chase Daniel 2.0 in Andy's mind and he'll ride it out with Alex unless he gets injured then Mahomes will get his chance. Furthermore, next season is when our Christmas present will be unwrapped in the form of PMII wearing #5 as his jersey .

There is no way in which comparing Mahomes to Chase Daniel makes any sense.

[Tribal Warfare]

Originally Posted by WhiteWhale

There is no way in which comparing Mahomes to Chase Daniel makes any sense.

There is if he is the last alternative. ANDY will avoid starting Pat as if it was death itself. Next season will be Mahomes' time to shine

[gold_and_red]

Originally Posted by RunKC

I just watched the Cowboys and Giants game again (I'm off all week).

The offense is sputtering bc of Alex. Andy can't cover his flaws up any longer. We started hot because teams didn't have film on us and didn't know how to stop the new shovel pass and RPO option plays. Now everyone has tape of it bc it's been copied, as well as the Steelers setting the blueprint.

Andy must be exhausted trying to come up with gimmick plays and wrinkles bc his QB can't succeed with basic play calls.

And he has realized this only after 4 years? I would have brought in some real QB competition through FA or the draft immediately following the 2014 season where we choked our way out of the playoffs without a single WR TD. Instead the moronic trifecta of Hunt, Dorsey and Reid reward Alex with an extension because Chiefs!

[chiefzilla1501]

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare

As I said before PMII is Chase Daniel 2.0 in Andy's mind and he'll ride it out with Alex unless he gets injured then Mahomes will get his chance. Furthermore, next season is when our Christmas present will be unwrapped in the form of PMII wearing #5 as his jersey .

For this year, yes.

There is no doubt about the timing. The Chiefs have the opportunity to dump Alexs contract with minimal penalty. Barring an elite playoff performance, this is undoubtedly Alexs last season with the Chiefs. Saving $16m especially given our cap situation is a very very big deal.

[Red Dawg]

Fans get screwed by Andy all year. That's my predicyion.

[ARROW2]

http://www.nbcsports.com/video/kansa...atrick-mahomes

[Best22]

Benching Alex now is premature. Allow him to have one more bad start, then pull him. Reid has to know the temperature of the team: he doesn't want to lose them or anger veterans yet. But if Alex starts poorly against the Bills, no one will be able to question it. By then Alex's trade value would be irretrievably lost.

It's all about calculating the right time to make the move. It won't be for Alex's sake, it will all be about doing what's best for the team now and in the future

So let Alex start next week. It will give Reid enough evidence to make the change. And yes, it will happen if this continues. Reid won't stand to get embarrassed by Smith

[Best22]

Originally Posted by gold_and_red

And he has realized this only after 4 years? I would have brought in some real QB competition through FA or the draft immediately following the 2014 season where we choked our way out of the playoffs without a single WR TD. Instead the moronic trifecta of Hunt, Dorsey and Reid reward Alex with an extension because Chiefs!

2014 Alex wins that game vs NYG

What we are seeing is a man in regression