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Old 12-16-2015, 01:22 AM  
kccrow kccrow is offline
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Offseason Plan 2.0 (12/16/15)

Just in time for the holidays, here's my offseason plan Part Deux.

Free Agency

Exclusive Rights Free Agents
Demetrius Harris - TE - 1 year, $600,000. Cap hit of $600,000.
Frankie Hammond - WR - 1 year, $600,000. Cap hit of $600,000.
Charcandrick West - RB - 1 year, $600,000. Cap hit of $600,000.
Daniel Sorensen - SS - 1 year, $600,000. Cap hit of $600,000.
Nicholas Williams - 34DT - 1 year, $600,000. Cap hit of $600,000.

Unrestricted Free Agents
Eric Berry - SS (KC) - 5 year, $48 million with $15 million signing bonus and $22 million in total guarantees. Cap hits of $7.5, 9.0, 9.0, 11.0, and 11.5 million. Average annual cap hit of $9.6 million.
Jaye Howard - DE (KC) - 4 year, 25 million with 10 million signing bonus and 12 million in total guarantees. Cap hits of 4.6, 5.3, 7.2, and 7.9 million. Average annual cap hit of 6.25 million.
Derrick Johnson - ILB (KC) - 2 year, 8.25 million with 2 million signing bonus. Cap hits of 3.75 and 4.5 million. Average annual cap hit of 4.125 million.
Jeff Allen - OG (KC) - 4 year, 17 million with 4 million signing bonus and 5 million in total guarantees. Cap hits of 2.5, 4.5, 4.7, and 5.3 million. Average annual cap hit of 4.25 million.
Husain Abdullah - FS (KC) - 2 year, 3.25 million with 750,000 signing bonus. Cap hits of 1.50 and 1.75 million. Average annual cap hit of 1.625 million
Jah Reid - OT (KC) - 1 year, 840,000 with 50,000 signing bonus. Cap hit of 665,000.
Frank Zombo - OLB (KC) - 1 year, 840,000 with 50,000 signing bonus. Cap hit of 665,000.
Dezman Moses - OLB (KC) - 1 year, 675,000. Cap hit of 675,000.
Rishard Matthews - WR (MIA)
- 2 year, 6.2 million with 1 million signing bonus and 2 million in total guarantees. Cap hits of 2.6 and 3.6 million.

Approximate Total Cap Hits before Draft Picks - 142.4 million


Draft
1. OT Jason Spriggs - Indiana (6'6" 305)

The right tackle position has been a thorn in the Chiefs' side for a few years now; let's call it a revolving door of medicority or worse. It really is time for KC to give themselves a pair of bookend tackles that can consistently keep Alex Smith standing upright. Spriggs is the type of long, athletic tackle that Dorsey and company seem to covet. Spriggs is an excellent mover in space with good feet and can be a great run blocker. Spriggs can easily function as a swing tackle if need be, giving the Chiefs a little bit more insurance for Eric Fisher.

2. SS Jeremy Cash - Duke (6'1" 208)

The Chiefs have some important free agent decisions to make with Eric Berry, Tyvon Branch, and Husain Abdullah all set to hit the market. I expect KC to retain two of the three, with Eric Berry being priority one. Cash already plays exactly the way Sutton likes to use his 3rd safety, close to the line of scrimmage and in slot coverage. Cash is one of the best playmakers in the country against the run and is very good in coverage. His abilities might give him a shot to go round one, but preliminarily he's being ranked as a 2nd to 3rd rounder. Cash is a perfect fit for Sutton's defense.

3. QB Brandon Doughty - Western Kentucky (6'3" 216)

The quarterback situation for the Chiefs is a huge question mark going into 2016, with very little known about the depth players behind Alex Smith: Tyler Bray and Aaron Murray. Bray was signed to a two year extension but has spent this season on the non-football injury list. Meanwhile, the Chiefs didn't give Aaron Murray much of an opportunity to throw the football last pre-season. With it a given that the Chiefs can't afford to bring back backup Chase Daniel at his current rate, they would be smart to add more serious competition at the position. Doughty checks a ton of boxes as a passer and actually reminds me alot of Alex Smith. I think a few years on the bench behind Smith, learning the nuances of the game, will make Doughty a much better player in the future and a potential franchise type QB.

4. CB Eric Murray - Minnesota (6'0" 196)

I'm expecting that KC won't be able to retain all of their free agents and the biggest hit will probably be losing Sean Smith at corner. The Chiefs have some great youngsters in Marcus Peters and Phillip Gaines, providing Gaines comes back 100% from injury. They need more competition though, and Murray is the type of long, man cover corner that Sutton loves. While not the ballhawking type that Peters is, nor the athlete that Gaines is, Murray is a steady type of player that gets the job done week-in and week-out.

5. WR Keyarris Garrett - Tulsa (6'3" 221)

I thought long and hard about adding a receiver earlier than this, but I'm adding budding Miami Dolphins starter Rishard Matthews via free agency so the need isn't as pressing. Garrett is a long athlete with great field awareness and top notch hands. He isn't a speed demon, but he does have sneaky deep speed. Garrett shows the ability to find open spots in zone, is reliable on in routes and slants, and comes back to his quarterback when things break down. With good leaping ability and height, he's also a good endzone target.

5. DE Ronald Blair III - Appalachian State (6'3" 272)

The Chiefs' lose a great player in Tamba Hali if he chooses to hang up the cleats after this season, something I fully expect. If he doesn't, the Chiefs will undoubtedly find a way to bring him back. Until that situation is clarified, I'm expecting the Chiefs to look for depth behind Dee Ford and Justin Houston, especially given that both Dezman Moses and Frank Zombo are free agents. Blair is a guy I really like and he isn't very high on the radar yet. This is a guy that brings it every down, plays the run well, bends the edge, and can bear down on a QB. Blair is highly underrated, probably because of level of competition but he was a man amongst boys against Clemson this year. I'm sold.

6. DT Matt Ioannidis - Temple (6'3" 292)

The Chiefs will have some free agent issues to address at 3-4 defensive end as well. Mike DeVito and Jaye Howard are both free agents, so I don't expect the Chiefs to bring both back. Howard has to be priority one at the position and is probably the second most important free agent after Eric Berry. That being said, KC will have to continue to build depth via the draft. The Temple defense was undoubtedly led by star linebacker Tyler Matakevich, but in front of him was a very good player in his own right; Matt Ioannidis. Ioannidis is a very solid player in all phases and has lined up both at defensive end and inside. Ioannnidis is a big-time high-motor player that routinely pushes the pocket and forces plays in the backfield. I see him as a guy that can develop into a solid outside anchor in the Chiefs' 3-4.

7. OT Clint Van Horn - Marshall (6'5" 310)

The Chiefs depth at tackle, and even guard, has been a slight issue so far and I fully expect Dorsey to try to resolve that this offseason. Van Horn is a guy that has been a solid starter at right tackle for the Herd and he looks like he can take that to the pros. He's not all that athletically gifted and his kickslide isn't always pretty, but its been effective. He's a bull in the run game and can generate movement off the line of scrimmage. Ultimately I see Van Horn as a guy that you move inside to left guard and let him be that island that defensive tackles can't get around, but you have him as an emergency starter at right tackle if the need arises.

Offseason Roster
QB Alex Smith
QB Tyler Bray
QB Aaron Murray
QB Brandon Doughty (Draft Rd 3)

RB Jamaal Charles
RB Charcandrick West (ERFA)
RB Spencer Ware
RB De'Anthony Thomas
RB Knile Davis

FB Anthony Sherman

TE Travis Kelce
TE James O'Shaughnessy
TE Brian Parker
TE Demetrius Harris (ERFA)

WR Jeremy Maclin
WR Rishard Matthews (UFA-MIA)
WR Albert Wilson
WR Chris Conley
WR Keyarris Garrett (Draft Rd 5)
WR Frankie Hammond Jr (ERFA)

OT Eric Fisher
OT Jason Spriggs (Draft Rd 1)
OT Jah Reid (UFA)
OT Clint Van Horn (Draft Rd 7)
OT Curtis Feigt

OG Jeff Allen (UFA)
OG Ben Grubbs
OG Laurent Duvernay-Tardiff
OG Paul Fanaika

OC Mitch Morse
OC Zach Fulton

DL Allen Bailey
DL Jaye Howard (UFA)
DL Nicholas Williams (ERFA)
DL Rakeem Nunez-Roches
DL Matt Ioannidis (Draft Rd 6)
DL Dontari Poe

OLB Justin Houston
OLB Dee Ford
OLB Frank Zombo (UFA)
OLB Dezman Moses (UFA)
OLB Ronald Blair III (Draft Rd 5)

ILB Derrick Johnson (UFA)
ILB Josh Mauga
ILB Justin March
ILB Ramik Wilson
ILB DJ Alexander

CB Marcus Peters
CB Phillip Gaines
CB Steven Nelson
CB Eric Murray (Draft Rd 4)
CB Marcus Cooper

SS Eric Berry (UFA)
SS Daniel Sorensen (ERFA)
SS Jeremy Cash (Draft Rd 2)
FS Ron Parker
FS Husain Abdullah (UFA)


Some of my other draft pick considerations, for your entertainment
2. LB Tyler Matakevich - Temple (6'0" 232)
3. OG Joshua Garnett - Stanford (6'4" 321)
3. WR Braxton Miller - Ohio State (6'1 215)
4. OG Sebastian Tretola - Arkansas (6'5" 334)
4. DL Anthony Zettel - Penn State (6'4" 278)
5. CB Lloyd Carrington - Arizona State (5'11" 194)
6. WR Hunter Sharp - Utah State (5'11 196)
6. CB Morgan Burns - Kansas State (5'11' 195)
7. OG Ted Karras - Illinois (6'4" 310)
7. FS Doug Middleton - Appalachian State (6'0" 210)

Edit:
I forgot to add in that I expect the Chiefs to re-sign as many of their Practice Squad players as possible, I'll add them in next go-around. All will be minimum/futures contracts that won't affect the cap anyhow.

Last edited by kccrow; 12-16-2015 at 01:35 AM..
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Old 12-16-2015, 01:46 AM   #2
Direckshun Direckshun is online now
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This is a ridiculously stacked roster everywhere but CB, which is waaaay too thin.

Maybe, since you've already secured Berry, Abdullah, and Sorensen you do away with the safety in round 2 and go corner in Round 1 and tackle in Round 2.
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Old 12-16-2015, 10:07 AM   #3
CleveSteve CleveSteve is offline
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I like this draft a lot except I don't know the DL guys.
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Old 12-16-2015, 10:38 AM   #4
Pestilence Pestilence is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
This is a ridiculously stacked roster everywhere but CB, which is waaaay too thin.

Maybe, since you've already secured Berry, Abdullah, and Sorensen you do away with the safety in round 2 and go corner in Round 1 and tackle in Round 2.
I wouldn't be upset going CB in the 1st and RT in the 2nd.
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Old 12-16-2015, 10:51 AM   #5
Direckshun Direckshun is online now
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In an ideal world, the Chiefs fix the OL with the talent they already have on their roster and use rounds 1 and 2 to select a CB and another passrusher to back up Ford.
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Old 12-16-2015, 11:10 AM   #6
Pestilence Pestilence is offline
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
In an ideal world, the Chiefs fix the OL with the talent they already have on their roster and use rounds 1 and 2 to select a CB and another passrusher to back up Ford.
With who?

I guess in an ideal world....Grubbs returns to form, starting at LG, and allowing Allen to move to RT. Pughsley could fill in as the swing tackle.
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Old 12-16-2015, 11:32 AM   #7
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They need to find a guy that can play rt. I hate using an early round pick for that, but it is what it is.

I don't think they need to go into the draft with certain positions in mind. Just go full blown best player available and keep stacking depth everywhere.

If the best player avail is a dl, do it. Wr, rushbacker, corner etc whatever.
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Old 12-16-2015, 11:46 AM   #8
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Our CB's look incredibly scary. Marcus Peters would be Our only CB with no serious questions heading into the season. I really hope we can do something to keep Sean Smith or bring a solid vet in.

But either way, the talent at CB in this draft is going to be insane. There's like 8 good CB's projected. 9 if you include Eric Murray.

We might take one in the first 2 rounds just bc the talent is so good
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Old 12-16-2015, 11:50 AM   #9
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Also, some of these spots you've gotta be able to develop guys in house or guys you already have.

Such as rt or cb
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Old 12-16-2015, 01:24 PM   #10
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My thoughts...

1. You aren't fixing the right tackle position with anyone on this roster. You're far more likely to solve the guard issues. Also, the Chiefs will have a decision to make on whether or not to exercise the 5th year option on Eric Fisher at the end of next season. If he falters, having reasonable insurance may be a smart move.

2. I'd be pressed to believe Dorsey will go CB in the 1st in back-to-back years. If Gaines is 100% back from injury, he's going to start opposite Peters and Smith is history. If I'm a betting man, they'll look for another developmental player, like I show here, in round 3 or 4. My next bit will explain why I think S, and not CB, is a bigger priority.

3. There's a reason I've only targeted strong coverage safeties that can also give rather solid run support in my drafts: they are essential to Sutton's scheme. Abdullah is re-signed in this scenario, but he's more or less a placeholder until a rookie gets up to speed. Tyvon Branch is not as strong in coverage and I see Abdullah as a smarter player and more to be the mentoring type. Sutton employs 3 safeties in nickel coverage far more than he plays 3 corners.

4. Depending on what happens with the free agents at OLB, the Chiefs may have to spend more picks on depth there. However, I doubt Dorsey is going to run a guy up to the podium in the first two rounds for a backup pass rusher unless some stud falls into his lap. I'd put more money on him drafting a defensive lineman in the first two rounds than an OLB, especially given the quality of the players at 3-4 DE.

5. Give some tape a look-see on the defensive lineman.

6. I need a nap.
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Old 12-16-2015, 01:36 PM   #11
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I understand the importance of SS in Sutton's scheme but prior to the Draft, this is already your depth chart at safety:

Berry
Parker
Abdullah
Sorensen

All three guys can play SS if need be. There's no reason to torch a 2nd rounder on the position if you're bringing back everybody but Branch.
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Old 12-16-2015, 02:21 PM   #12
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Jeremy Cash is getting wrist surgery, idk if that affects his draft placement for you.
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Old 12-16-2015, 05:09 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
I understand the importance of SS in Sutton's scheme but prior to the Draft, this is already your depth chart at safety:

Berry
Parker
Abdullah
Sorensen

All three guys can play SS if need be. There's no reason to torch a 2nd rounder on the position if you're bringing back everybody but Branch.
Depends on if you think the Chiefs are going to keep Parker when his salary jumps after next season. Also depends on how soon he wheels might fall off on Abdullah. I never count on a rookie to make a tremendous impact in year one. As with all rookies he's a future pick with great value.
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Old 12-16-2015, 05:15 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by ChiefAshhole1056 View Post
Jeremy Cash is getting wrist surgery, idk if that affects his draft placement for you.
Not at all, probably to remove a bone chip. It doesn't really concern me with any player except for maybe QBs. One thing that worries me more about my placement of him is that Mel Hairper slid him up to his 2nd rated safety. That probably means there's a feeling he's going 1st round or very early 2nd.
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Old 12-16-2015, 08:34 PM   #15
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Been thinking about some things... questions...


1. Give me some thoughts on drafting a mid-round tackle versus a high round tackle. I'm especially interested in some thoughts on UK OT Jordan Swindle (round 4).

2. Is it important to invest a high pick in a backup pass rusher?

3. Is CB as big of an issue as I've seen it made out to be with Peters and Gaines as the starters, Nelson with a year under his belt as the 3rd CB, and the likelihood that KC will at least invest a mid round pick on the position? That is, do the Chiefs really need to spend a 1st or 2nd round pick there?

4. Are you comfortable with the offensive guard situation if Allen is re-signed?

5. With Ron Parker set to make over 5 million in 2017 and over 7 million in 2018 and 2019 as well as the masses wanting to re-sign Eric Berry, which will likely cost 9-10 million per year, there will be future camp implications. Why should safety not be a priority thought given the need for time to develop draft picks?
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