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Old 10-22-2018, 10:34 AM  
RunKC RunKC is offline
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Rest of our schedule looks very favorable
Broncos
@Browns
Cardinals
Rams-Mexico
@Raiders
Ravens
Chargers
@Seahawks
Raiders

Quick analysis:
-3 of those teams have a winning record.
-Chargers come to Arrowhead on a short week (big disadvantage for them).
-Raiders will probably give up by week 17.

Hard to see us go any worse than 13-3 with this schedule.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:24 PM   #106
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We've screwed it up after winning 9, 10, 11 and 12 games as well, so winning 13 isn't really a jinx to me.
That's a good point. The jinx hasn't been 13 wins, the jinx has been playing in the playoffs. But I think we're about to burst through that barrier like a high school team running through a cheerleader banner.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:27 PM   #107
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:41 PM   #108
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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
Let's take the number 13 out of the equation altogether, since you seem to think this is simple triskaidekaphobia. These 13-3 teams have another common thread.

10 of them were #1 seeds. If I go ahead and and just take out record and only look at playoff seeding, it shows a similar pattern. 5 additional 14-2 or 12-4 teams (in addition to the 13-3 teams that were also #1 seeds) exited the playoffs at home after a bye.

The 2003 Patriots and 1998 and 2015 Broncos are the only AFC #1 seeds to win the Super Bowl in the last 25 years.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:42 PM   #109
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Originally Posted by Renegade View Post
The Sunday night game that week is Steelers at Raiders. Will be flexed.

Other options

Eagles @ Cowboys
Bengals @ Chargers
Falcons @ Packers-not likely unless Falcons start improving
Saints @ Buccaneers
Chiefs @ Ravens

My guess Bengals/Chargers
I don't think that we can have another game flexed. I believe that the NFL has set a maximum of 6 primetime games per team per year. We started with 5. The Bengals game made 6. They may flex to a double header game with national coverage, but I think that's it.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:47 PM   #110
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Originally Posted by htismaqe View Post
Let's take the number 13 out of the equation altogether, since you seem to think this is simple triskaidekaphobia. These 13-3 teams have another common thread.

10 of them were #1 seeds. If I go ahead and and just take out record and only look at playoff seeding, it shows a similar pattern. 5 additional 14-2 or 12-4 teams (in addition to the 13-3 teams that were also #1 seeds) exited the playoffs at home after a bye.

The 2003 Patriots and 1998 and 2015 Broncos are the only AFC #1 seeds to win the Super Bowl in the last 25 years.
Because football is a weird game.

You realize this undercuts the argument you made w/r/t Earl Thomas, right? What you're citing here is EXACTLY why my position is always that I'm going to prefer the path that gives us more bites at the apple than the one that gives us a couple of larger ones.

It's a maelstrom of a sport with large men throwing themselves at each other while holding an oblong ball. There's no stranger sport imaginable, to be honest. It's remarkably random when you get down to it.

But if you're asking me if I'd rather be the #1 seed and get home games throughout the playoffs or a 6 seed (or any other seed) - I'm gonna take the 1 every single time. Not because it guarantees a thing, but because it makes your chances just an Nth better and that's all you can ask.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:49 PM   #111
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You realize this undercuts the argument you made w/r/t Earl Thomas, right?
Not at all. A guy like Earl Thomas (or Patrick Peterson) gets them a win at Foxboro, which will likely be needed for a Super Bowl berth.
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Old 10-22-2018, 03:58 PM   #112
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Not at all. A guy like Earl Thomas (or Patrick Peterson) gets them a win at Foxboro, which will likely be needed for a Super Bowl berth.
Why?

Being a better team is more likely to make them a #1 seed. If they're a #1 seed, they're evidently less likely to win a championship in your world.

Dude - say what you want, but this is superstition on your part, no matter how hard you try to rationalize it otherwise.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:03 PM   #113
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:05 PM   #114
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This team basically needs the 1 to make the bowl the defense plays significantly better at home.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:18 PM   #115
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Of course I do. Because you don't want to hear it.
In all that time, we’ve never had exclusive possession of the league’s No. 1 up and coming superstar. WE DO NOW. If the ****ing Colts could win it all with Manning, we can win it all with Mahomes.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:19 PM   #116
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Why?

Being a better team is more likely to make them a #1 seed. If they're a #1 seed, they're evidently less likely to win a championship in your world.

Dude - say what you want, but this is superstition on your part, no matter how hard you try to rationalize it otherwise.
I believe in numbers and history. That's not superstition. You choose to believe that those numbers are random, I choose to believe there's an underlying cause.

I don't know what it is but I do know it's not curses, magic, or anything like that because none of those things actually exist.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:20 PM   #117
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In all that time, we’ve never had exclusive possession of the league’s No. 1 up and coming superstar. WE DO NOW. If the ****ing Colts could win it all with Manning, we can win it all with Mahomes.
Except the Colts didn't win it all with Manning, not as the #1 seed or with a 13-3 record.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:21 PM   #118
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Wonder if we'll have an answer for the Broncos blitz this time around
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:22 PM   #119
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Wonder if we'll have an answer for the Broncos blitz this time around
They answered it before, at Mile High.

I think the Chiefs roll the Donks at Arrowhead.
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Old 10-22-2018, 04:26 PM   #120
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The 13-3 saga is not a curse, it's merely a coincidence.

That's all that it is.
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