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Old 11-22-2012, 12:03 PM  
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Matt Barkley doesn't resemble elite quarterback prospect in 2012

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http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap100...rback-prospect

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When Matt Barkley returned to USC for his senior year, it was likely with visions of bagging a national championship and the Heisman Trophy before entering the NFL as the No. 1 pick in next April's draft. However, Barkley's subpar performance in this disappointing season that has ensued is threatening to send him plummeting down draft boards across the league.

The Trojans are sitting at 7-4 with just one game remaining in the regular season, and USC is out of contention in the Pac-12 race. Barkley doesn't have a chance of winning college's top individual prize, either, with playmakers like Kansas State QB Collin Klein, Texas A&M QB Johnny Manziel and Notre Dame LB Manti Te'o emerging as the main contenders.

Now, it is important to note that Barkley was not a lock to be a top-10 pick a season ago. In fact, scouts told me last spring that Barkley wasn't a cinch to be the third quarterback in the 2012 draft class, despite having a more impressive collegiate résumé than Texas A&M's Ryan Tannehill (who went to the Miami Dolphins with the eighth overall pick) and Oklahoma State's Brandon Weeden (drafted by the Cleveland Browns at 22nd overall). Evaluators cited Barkley's lack of elite physical tools (height, arm talent and athleticism) as major concerns. Although Barkley was listed at 6-foot-2, 230 pounds, scouts questioned whether he was tall enough to play the position at the next level, and worried that his lack of athleticism would make him a sitting duck in the pocket.

Scouts also worried about Barkley's lack of elite arm strength. Although he displayed the capacity to make short and intermediate throws with zip and velocity, he didn't blow evaluators away with his deep-ball range, accuracy or touch. Barkley routinely underthrew his receivers on vertical throws, relying on Marqise Lee and Robert Woods to make plays on the ball. Both playmakers are regarded as future elite NFL prospects; some wonder if Barkley's production is a byproduct of their remarkable skills.

With so many questions surrounding him, Barkley decided another year at the collegiate level would help him refine his game and make him a polished quarterback worthy of being selected at the top of the draft.

I've watched Barkley perform throughout his senior season. Here is my assessment of his game and whether he has a legitimate shot at hearing his name called first on draft day:

Arm talent

Barkley is a classic drop-back passer with sound throwing mechanics and a smooth delivery. He shows a compact windup and an over-the-top throwing motion with a quick release. Barkley displays good (but not great) arm strength on intermediate and deep throws. Although his balls tend to flutter on out-breaking routes that are longer than 15 yards, he shows adequate zip and velocity on his throws. Barkley can certainly fit balls into tight windows on intermediate throws inside the numbers, but he lacks the overpowering arm strength to complete the deep comeback from the opposite hash on a rope against tight coverage. The exceptional speed and quickness of NFL defensive backs will result in break-ups or interceptions, unless Barkley shows extraordinary timing and anticipation, releasing the ball well before the receiver comes out of his break.

On deep throws, Barkley shows a throwing range of about 50 to 55 yards. He has routinely connected with Lee and Nelson Agholor on vertical routes down the field. While most of those completions have resulted from his exceptional timing and anticipation, Barkley has shown the arm strength to throw the ball over the top of the defense when defenders squat on routes. This was particularly evident against Oregon on Nov. 3, when he connected on 75- and 76-yard touchdowns on deep post routes to Lee and Agholor, respectively. In my mind, these throws certainly squelched some of the concern about his deep-ball ability. However, the fallout from "Inflate Gate" could alter that opinion. (A USC ball boy was reprimanded following that game for deflating footballs, which he later admitted to doing; the use of underinflated balls makes it easier for quarterbacks to throw the ball down the field with greater zip and velocity.)

With the arm talent to make most of the throws at the next level, Barkley shouldn't have a problem succeeding as a starting quarterback, if he plays to his strengths.

Mobility

Barkley is not the kind of explosive athlete who can beat defenders with his legs on the perimeter. However, he flashes enough mobility and movement skills to be effective within the pocket. Barkley will routinely climb the pocket to avoid penetrating rushers, and his efficient footwork allows him to make accurate throws under duress. When the pocket completely crumbles, Barkley will attempt to escape, but he lacks the speed and quickness to run away from defenders on the perimeter.

As a passer on the move, Barkley is nimble enough to make accurate throws on bootlegs and rollouts. He shows the ability to deliver on the run without losing balance, which would allow him to make the most of the movement-based throws in West Coast offensive systems. Given the fact that Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub and Oakland Raiders quarterback Carson Palmer have succeeded in passing games that feature extensive movement in the backfield, Barkley's athleticism shouldn't impact his ability to start in most systems.

Game management

Barkley will enter the NFL with 47 games of starting experience at the major college level. The wealth of knowledge accumulated in those contests will ease Barkley's transition to the pro game, and allow him to quickly adjust to the speed and complexity of NFL defenses. Looking at Barkley's career arc, I've been impressed with the way that he manages the game at the line of scrimmage. He has been exposed to hot reads and sight adjustments, and has also utilized audibles to counter potential defensive looks.

In addition, Barkley has called plays from the line of scrimmage in no-huddle and two-minute situations, showcasing his mastery of the offense and knowledge of coverage. The utilization of the hurry-up approach also reflects his keen understanding of game situations and circumstances.

From a decision-making standpoint, Barkley has been mildly disappointing. He has made several errors in big games, leading to a high number of turnovers. While his touchdown-to-interception ratio is a respectable 36:15, the fact that he has thrown two or more picks in six games is disturbing. A quarterback with Barkley's experience should understand the importance of ball security, and he should avoid making risky throws. More importantly, Barkley should understand that tight coverage up the field means a check-down or safety valve is available underneath. Elite NFL quarterbacks operate that way; he has enough experience to know this strategy produces winning results. With nine interceptions in the Trojans' last four games, Barkley hasn't performed as expected; that will certainly affect his grade on draft boards across the league.

Clutch factor

Quarterbacks are ultimately judged on their ability to win big games. Barkley was outstanding in the Trojans' biggest games in 2011, but he has underwhelmed in such showdowns this season. In the Trojans' four losses, Barkley completed just 58.2 percent of his passes, recording 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. More importantly, he has made poor decisions in the opening moments of games, putting his team in an early hole. The most disappointing aspect of his performance is his inability to recognize pressure and coverage prior to the snap. For a senior with four years of starting experience, Barkley should display more poise under pressure and perform better in big games. Scouts will go back to the 2011 game tape to see if Barkley's problems are a trend, but his lackluster play in meaningful contests this season will give evaluators some pause when considering his prospects as a franchise quarterback.

Conclusion

Barkley was considered a strong possibility as a top-15 pick a year ago, but elected to return to school to hone his game for the pros. He has shown progress in some areas, but he is not the elite quarterback prospect some thought he'd be prior to the season. He is not in the same class as current young standouts Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers), Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts) and Robert Griffin III (Washington Redskins), but he has enough polish and potential to still merit consideration as a pick in the latter half of the first round. Given the number of teams that are desperate for a quarterback, though, I expect Barkley will come off the board within the first 20 selections of the 2013 NFL Draft.
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Old 11-22-2012, 10:26 PM   #166
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Lets say we take the names out of the equation...lets provide a grade (on a scale of 1-100) on each player

QB A has a ranking of 91
QB B has a ranking of 89
QB C has a ranking of 86
QB D has a ranking of 82
QB E has a ranking of 79

There are defensive players that rank out as 95, 94, 93 and 2 90s.

I swear, some Chiefs fans would be totally fine passing on the 91 ranked QB becasue they think its ok to get the 82 or even the 79...as long as they canget that 95 defensive guy.

To me, even if my team looks to be in position to take the 86, Id be fully willing to trade that 95 defensive player AND that 86, and more to move up to take that 91.

Not in a million years would I pass on that 91 to take that 95...in HOPE of being able to take that 82 or 79.
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Old 11-22-2012, 10:34 PM   #167
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Originally Posted by CoMoChief View Post
I acutally wouldn't mind Cassel being kept as the primary backup as long as he takes a pay cut....which I'm sure he won't do and I don't necessarily blame him for not doing so.
Further proof that 99% of your posts are ****ing absurd.

I don't care who our backup is as long as it's not Matt ****ing Cassel.

He needs to be off this team as soon as this season is over.
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Old 11-22-2012, 10:35 PM   #168
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Originally Posted by KCFaninSEA View Post
I think it is more of people wondering if we can get another stud at pick #1 and a different quality QB with just as much upside at pick #33. If there is no other quality QB then ya take him but if the falloff from him to a guy at #33 won't be that much then it must be evaluated.

Lets face it, it makes for great discussion and at this point there will be a ton of transition at arrowhead between now and then. Anything could happen.
Your head must be evaluated.
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Old 11-22-2012, 10:40 PM   #169
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Further proof that 99% of your posts are ****ing absurd.

I don't care who our backup is as long as it's not Matt ****ing Cassel.

He needs to be off this team as soon as this season is over.
this.

I don't care if the guy would play for vet minimum...he needs to go somewhere else.

Everytime a player or coach says "I don't know what it is" that means they don't want to say something bad about Cassel because the guy is like an anchor for this team.
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:38 AM   #170
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However, he flashes enough mobility and movement skills to be effective within the pocket. Barkley will routinely climb the pocket to avoid penetrating rushers, and his efficient footwork allows him to make accurate throws under duress

That's really all that matters TBH So, basically mobility isn't a question.
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:40 AM   #171
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Ya don't want this guy even in the 4th round. Sanchez part 2
yep
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:45 AM   #172
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Cmon Bone. Just cause he's from SC doesn't make him another Baywatch boy like Suckchez and Leinart.
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:48 AM   #173
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Cmon Bone. Just cause he's from SC doesn't make him another Baywatch boy like Suckchez and Leinart.


i wouldn't wanna bet on that.
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:51 AM   #174
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Do you at least support Chocolate Penii???
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Old 11-23-2012, 08:54 AM   #175
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Geno is da man.
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Old 11-23-2012, 10:27 AM   #176
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I'd rather have Landry freaking Jones than Matt Barkley.

At least Jones has some mobility.

Barkley has stone feet.
I think I agree with this. I can't believe I'm saying that.

I think Geno is probably the way to go, but I don't feel like he's a sure thing either.
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Old 11-23-2012, 10:29 AM   #177
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Further proof that 99% of your posts are ****ing absurd.

I don't care who our backup is as long as it's not Matt ****ing Cassel.

He needs to be off this team as soon as this season is over.
I wouldn't want Cassel on the team if he paid to play.
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Old 11-23-2012, 10:31 AM   #178
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Do you at least support Chocolate Penii???
Not as much as your sister.

BANG!
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Old 11-23-2012, 10:45 AM   #179
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Ive heard you say this dumb shit a few times and its absolutely ridiculous.

What exactly gives Geno this "major bust potential"?

What is his "fatal flaw" that he needs to overcome and if he doesnt, he will bust?
Zilla' has been a damned True Fan since the Pioli hire and liked the Cassel trade, so just move along; NOTHING to see there, folks.
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IMO Geno is RGIII without the elite scrambling talent.
He's not a sprinter, but he can elude some mother****ers too.
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Old 11-23-2012, 12:19 PM   #180
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Originally Posted by KCFaninSEA View Post
I think it is more of people wondering if we can get another stud at pick #1 and a different quality QB with just as much upside at pick #33. If there is no other quality QB then ya take him but if the falloff from him to a guy at #33 won't be that much then it must be evaluated.

Lets face it, it makes for great discussion and at this point there will be a ton of transition at arrowhead between now and then. Anything could happen.
You are a fan of a team that has NEVER owned their own home-grown franchise QB.

You're going to get a shot at one here this upcoming draft for the FIRST ****ING TIME IN YOUR SORRY ****ING LIFE.

And you want to ****ing GAMBLE THAT AWAY just so you can get a measly ****ing DEFENSIVE PLAYER in the package?

Unbe****inglievable.

QBs aren't about draft value, you ****ing moron. If you don't have one, and a guy is available, YOU TAKE THE ****ING QB AND GO **** YOUR SISTER SO YOU SHUT THE **** UP.

****
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