Options for my draft...

[The Bad Guy]

I have a draft in 2 days and I've switched strategies about 10 times in the last day.

My keeper is Doug Martin. I had to announce my keeper before the draft order was set. To keep someone, you lose a first round pick.

I was hoping for a pick in the later part of the round. Nope. Of course I draw 1.

So I'm not picking until 2.12 and 3.1. I'm right now targeting Kaepernick (high QB scoring league) and a receiver like DeMariyus Thomas or Julio Jones.

Other keepers were: Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, CJ Spiller, and AP.

Then again, due to the lack of RBs, I should be looking for a RB and QB with those 2 picks.

What strategy would you go with? QB/WR, QB/RB or RB/WR.

[DaKCMan AP]

My league has 14 teams and is very QB concentrated in the early round(s). Last year the first 5 picks were QBs and 7 went in round 1.

I think you go with QB & RB so that by end of rd 3 you have your QB and 2 RBs. WR is extremely deep.

I typically ignore TE until the mid-rounds but this year (drafting at the end of rd 1) my goal is to have a QB, 2 RBs, and a TE after 4 rounds (or QB/2RB/1WR/1TE after 5).

[CanadianChief]

What is a high scoring QB league??? 6pts for a TD?

I'd still wait on QB and go with a RB/WR combo. There's a lot of depth at QB this year and I'd be happy starting anyone on most top 12 rankings.

[cabletech94]

so in my money league we have 2 (starting) qbs. so the importance of a qb is pretty important.
we're now doing a keeper league as well, and my 2 previous qbs were brady and p manning.
while we don't "lose" a round if we keep one, i'm on the fence of which to keep.
thoughts, suggestions?

[jspchief]

I'd take a hard look at the scoring differential for the QBs in that range. The difference in getting the #6 QB vs the #10 QB might not be worth missing a WR or another starting RB.

[DaKCMan AP]

Originally Posted by CanadianChief

What is a high scoring QB league??? 6pts for a TD?

I'd still wait on QB and go with a RB/WR combo. There's a lot of depth at QB this year and I'd be happy starting anyone on most top 12 rankings.

You can see the drop-off in point values from the top or top-2 QBs, RBs, and WRs.

Player	FPTS		
Brees, Drew*QB NO	423.8		
Rodgers, Aaron*QB GB	415.8	8	
Manning, Peyton*QB DEN	400	23.8	15.8
Newton, Cam*QB CAR*	369.6	54.2	46.2
Brady, Tom*QB NE*	365.8	58	50
Ryan, Matt*QB ATL	362.2	61.6	53.6
Stafford, MatthewQB DET	356.2	67.6	59.6
Griffin, Robert*QB WAS*	346.8	77	69
Luck, Andrew*QB IND	343.6	80.2	72.2
Romo, Tony*QB DAL	341.8	82	74
Kaepernick, ColinQB SF	330.2	93.6	85.6
Wilson, Russell*QB SEA*	319.6	104.2	96.2
Manning, Eli*QB NYG	317.8	106	98
Dalton, Andy*QB CIN	293.4	130.4	122.4

Player	FPTS		
Peterson, Adrian*RB MIN	293		
Foster, Arian*RB HOU*	247	46	
Martin, Doug*RB TB*	246	47	1
Lynch, Marshawn*RB SEA	231	62	16
Morris, Alfred*RB WAS	228	65	19
Rice, Ray*RB BAL	206	87	41
Spiller, C.J.*RB BUF	195	98	52
Charles, Jamaal*RB KC*	188	105	59
Ridley, Stevan*RB NE	187	106	60
Rich,, Trent*RB CLE	187	106	60
Gore, Frank*RB SF	180	113	67
Forte, Matt*RB CHI	162	131	85
Johnson, Chris*RB TEN	159	134	88
Bush, Reggie*RB DET	156	137	91
Greene, Shonn*RB TEN	151	142	96

Player	FPTS		
Johnson, Calvin*WR DET*	212		
Marshall, Brandon*WR CHI	209	3	
Bryant, Dez*WR DAL	200	12	9
Green, A.J.*WR CIN*	192	20	17
Thomas, DemarWR DEN	189	23	20
Jackson, Vincent*WR TB	180	32	29
Decker, Eric*WR DEN	176	36	33
Johnson, Andre*WR HOU	175	37	34
Jones, Julio*WR ATL	172	40	37
White, Roddy*WR ATL*	169	43	40
Colston, Marq*WR NO*	164	48	45
Welker, Wes*WR DEN*	162	50	47
Cruz, Victor*WR NYG*	161	51	48
Crabtree, MikeWR SF*	157	55	52
Jones, James*WR GB	155	57	54

[Mr. Arrowhead]

I am a big fan of getting value early in RBs and WRs, then getting a QB later in the draft like Andy Daulton or Matt Stafford

[DaKCMan AP]

Originally Posted by Mr. Arrowhead

I am a big fan of getting value early in RBs and WRs, then getting a QB later in the draft like Andy Daulton or Matt Stafford

My league is weird. Last year Matt Stafford went in round 1. I typically have drafted a QB in rd 4 or 5 in that league. This year I'm at the bottom of rd 1 and I'm targeting QB/RB in those two picks.

[FD]

I would go RB/WR there and take a QB when your picks come up again. Some QB with value will fall, Ryan, Stafford, RG3. Worst case you end up with Romo, who I actually like a lot this year (for fantasy.)

This is only if you can get a good WR at 3.01, though, if there is a run and Jones and Thomas (and Marshall) are gone, I wouldn't reach for WR.

[The Franchise]

Last year I kept Victor Cruz and went WR/RB/WR/RB/QB. I'm not going to be able to do that this year. I'm keeping Doug Martin and depending on where I pick in the 1st....I might have to pick up another RB again. WR is deep as **** this year.

[The Bad Guy]

Here's the top 20 based on my league's scoring from last year:

Brees - 485.6
Rodgers - 452.6
Brady - 450.3
Peyton - 430.1
Ryan - 405.1
AP - 401.4
Calvin - 401.4
Romo - 386.9
Cam - 381.5
RGIII - 378.6
Brandon Marshall - 369.6
Stafford - 360.6
Luck - 354.5
Doug Martin - 338.6
Arian Foster - 337.1
Andre Johnson - 327.8
Russell Wilson - 327.6
Dez - 326.7
Demariyus Thomas - 326.4
AJ Green - 324.8

[Old Dog]

It's all about value based drafting IMO, and the difference between the #3 QB or RB to the #8 QB or RB last year was much larger than the WR dropoff.

That leads me to try and get WR later. I can almost always find a WR who is going to get a touch or two....RB notsomuch

[sedated]

Originally Posted by Old Dog

It's all about value based drafting IMO, and the difference between the #3 QB or RB to the #8 QB or RB last year was much larger than the WR dropoff.

That leads me to try and get WR later. I can almost always find a WR who is going to get a touch or two....RB notsomuch

On the other hand, RBs get hurt a lot more than QBs and WRs.

[sedated]

Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP

You can see the drop-off in point values from the top or top-2 QBs, RBs, and WRs.

So, the average point difference between each of the top players were:
QB - 9.28
RB - 9.46
WR - 3.80

To account for 1 player skewing the results (AP), here is the average with the top and bottom differences eliminated:
QB - 8.16
RB - 7.38
WR - 3.53

[The Bad Guy]

Ended up taking Peyton and Ridley with my back to back in the 2nd and 3rd. Receivers ended up being Colston, Garcon and Shorts. Receivers are shitty, but my backs should carry me.