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Old 05-27-2016, 10:26 AM  
thabear04 thabear04 is offline
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Chiefs Film Room: Kevin Hogan Is An Andy Reid QB

http://arrowheadaddict.com/2016/05/2...-andy-reid-qb/



The backup quarterback position is consistently one of intrigue when it comes to Andy Reid-led teams.

Ever since Kevin Kolb was flipped for Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and a second-round pick (yeesh), people have viewed Reid’s backups as potential starters and prime trade bait. Look no further than the rampant Chase Daniel trade speculation these past couple of seasons if you want proof of this.

Well now that Daniel has moved on to greener pastures- money wise at least – Reid is heading into this summer looking to anoint his next backup quarterback. Sure, Bray has been announced as the number two, but it has been made abundantly clear that Murray and Hogan will have every chance to snatch that spot over the coming months.

And if there’s one guy who looks to be primed to shake up the race, it’s the new kid on the block, Kevin Hogan.

The fifth-round pick out of Stanford is much more pro-ready than your average late round quarterback. Much of the credit for this goes to Stanford’s pro-style offense (ie. snaps are actually taken under center every once in a while).

This, along with some west-coast offense elements having been incorporated in that offense, gives Hogan a greatly reduced learning curve compared to your average rookie quarterback. Murray and Bray will still have a substantial advantage over him in terms of knowing the offense, but Hogan isn’t coming in as a complete blank slate, which is good.

There are a few other positive aspects of Hogan’s game that bode well for his backup quarterback prospects. One thing that’s instantly noticeable when you turn on the tape is his willingness to stand tall in the face of pressure and keep his eyes downfield:

Spoiler!


Hogan does an absolutely fantastic job of climbing the pocket here while keeping his eyes downfield the whole time. It’s fairly common to see quarterbacks get moved off their spot, drop their eyes, and proceed to tuck and run.

Even when forced to move, Hogan is usually looking to get the ball downfield. He also ends up taking a hit at the end of this throw, but you’ll notice it doesn’t affect Hogan’s delivery of the pass. He stands in there, makes the pass he wants to, and absorbs the hit like a champ.

But what about when it comes to, you know, actually throwing the ball? Well, Hogan put some passes on tape that showcase everything you’d want in a quarterback.

Spoiler!


For a guy scouts say has trouble with throwing the deep ball, Hogan sure did have a lot of dimes like this one. The trajectory and power behind this throw is perfect, and the result is a deep ball which hits the receiver in stride right on his hands.

Now, other than the fact the receiver runs right by two defenders, the other thing to takeaway here is that Hogan is given time and space to unleash this throw. That was a common component in Hogan’s deep ball.

Spoiler!


Probably my favorite part of Hogan’s game, and why I believe he is a legitimate option for the number two spot in his rookie season, is his ability to throw with anticipation. Hitting your playmakers in stride and throwing the ball to the spot they are going to be, not where they are, is a key component of the west coast offense. Hogan did this time and time again on tape.

The USC throw above is the best throw I saw Hogan make in the four games I watched of his. First, he utilizes the space his offensive line gives him and steps up in the pocket, allowing him to put a little more into the throw. Second, the trajectory of the ball puts it just out of reach of the underneath defender, but not so high that receiver has to extend himself for it.

Finally, the placement ensures the receiver does not have to slow down one bit, while at the same time, not giving the safety crashing down a chance to catch up and make a play on the ball. That’s a big time throw right there, and one you can bet Andy Reid took note of when scouting Hogan.

From what you’ve seen so far, you may be thinking, “well if he’s this good, how did he we get him in the fifth round?” A fair question no doubt, and the biggest issue that caused Hogan to be a late round pick is his consistency – or lack thereof.

The most inconsistent part of Hogan’s game is his throwing motion, and this wreaks havoc with his power and accuracy. When Hogan is given time and room to step into his throws, you get results like you saw above. But when Hogan doesn’t step into his throws and shortens his throwing motion, you get a play like this:

Spoiler!


Throwing outside the numbers like that from the far hash mark may work at the college level, but in the NFL that ball is being taken the other way for a pick-six. If you look at Hogan make that throw, he seems to fade away when he delivers it and doesn’t get anywhere close to the zip he’s capable of.

What makes this even more troubling is that there is no reason for Hogan to change his throwing motion here. The defense isn’t bearing down on him, the protection holds up fine, and he has plenty of time to plant his feet. Against USC, this is the kind of throw I saw him make in the same situation:

Spoiler!


Why Hogan didn’t make that type of throw versus Notre Dame is a complete mystery to me. And it wasn’t only his power that faded at random times, his accuracy took major swings as well and it wasn’t uncommon to see him unleash a few bad overthrows at times.

I would be very surprised if Andy Reid’s first mission wasn’t to fix these inconsistencies with Hogan’s delivery.

Something else Hogan struggles with is progressing through reads. He often stared down his number one option for far too long before moving on to his second read. While he doesn’t get happy feet and take off if his first read isn’t available, taking too long between progressions is just as debilitating to an offense:

Spoiler!


Hogan’s first read on this play is the receiver to the far right who is going deep. Hogan locks onto him throughout his dropback and stays locked on even when he begins stepping up. Meanwhile, over the middle of the field, his tight end is coming open and should be the target of this throw.

Hogan spends too long on his first read, and by the time he makes his way over to the tight end, the pocket is collapsing and he’s unable to get the ball out. In the NFL, pockets will collapse quicker and progressions must be made faster; adapting to the speed of the game may cause Hogan a few problems early on.

It’s easy to see why Reid drafted Hogan: he has the tools needed to run the west coast offense, he has shown the ability to make throws that are staples of a Reid offense, and he also has shown he can create big plays through the air. But Hogan’s success will hinge on his ability to develop consistency in his delivery, and adapt to the speed of the NFL game.

While it may not happen this season, Hogan has the tools Reid looks for and it’s only a matter of time before Hogan becomes the next fabled Reid backup quarterback.
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:02 PM   #16
Sweet Daddy Hate Sweet Daddy Hate is offline
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Im pretty sure he's not saying that. Hes saying if Hogan ends up being a good backup, it's a good pick. And I agree even though I also believe we need to be more aggressive about finding a qbotf
The organization historically just doesn't give a shit. It's like, "BUILD 'EM STRONG TEAM/qb? bleh".

I mean ****; look at all that post Green garbage. That's a lot of ****ing garbage for a long time.
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:09 PM   #17
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by Dagnabit View Post
The organization historically just doesn't give a shit. It's like, "BUILD 'EM STRONG TEAM/qb? bleh".

I mean ****; look at all that post Green garbage. That's a lot of ****ing garbage for a long time.
History doesn't apply to the current regime
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:17 PM   #18
Sweet Daddy Hate Sweet Daddy Hate is offline
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
History doesn't apply to the current regime
They've upped the ante by bringing in more bodies on the back end of the spectrum, but it's still the same tune on the top of the chart.

A 30 year, long distance dedication, goin' all the way back to 1983!

I believe I'll have an Alka-Seltzer now. Yep, Alka-Seltzer.
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:21 PM   #19
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by Dagnabit View Post
They've upped the ante by bringing in more bodies on the back end of the spectrum, but it's still the same tune on the top of the chart.

A 30 year, long distance dedication, goin' all the way back to 1983!

I believe I'll have an Alka-Seltzer now. Yep, Alka-Seltzer.
Eh, they've been building the roster since they arrived, which has more competiton than I can ever remember. They've had three straight winning seasons, won a playoff game and are ready to explode.

I trust Dorsey more than any Chiefs GM, ever, to make this team a Super Bowl contender.
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:25 PM   #20
Sweet Daddy Hate Sweet Daddy Hate is offline
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Eh, they've been building the roster since they arrived, which has more competiton than I can ever remember. They've had three straight winning seasons, won a playoff game and are ready to explode.

I trust Dorsey more than any Chiefs GM, ever, to make this team a Super Bowl contender.
That's what is infuriating; you are literally ONE gamer away. And though they don't grow on trees, you're not going to make it happen shopping at the Dollar Tree.

But, if anyone can break the trend, it will be Dorsey.
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Old 05-27-2016, 09:28 PM   #21
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Eh, they've been building the roster since they arrived, which has more competiton than I can ever remember. They've had three straight winning seasons, won a playoff game and are ready to explode.

I trust Dorsey more than any Chiefs GM, ever, to make this team a Super Bowl contender.
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Old 05-27-2016, 11:21 PM   #22
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Old 05-27-2016, 11:57 PM   #23
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It's worth it not having to be in a position like the Cowboys last year.
No doubt. You know a team is befuddle-****ed when they have to resort to one of our past "franchise QB's" to start a few games for them.
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Old 05-28-2016, 01:45 AM   #24
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Great analysis,

That last play is pretty well defend to be fair and the TE is possibly the third read due to the speed out from the slot WR who he probably should be throwing hot to for 2 yards vs the blitz hoping he breaks the tackle, although not sure of the down and distance.

The back job as a whole will be interesting especially when pre season game come around.
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Old 05-28-2016, 05:38 AM   #25
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Eh, they've been building the roster since they arrived, which has more competiton than I can ever remember. They've had three straight winning seasons, won a playoff game and are ready to explode.

I trust Dorsey more than any Chiefs GM, ever, to make this team a Super Bowl contender.


This ^^^
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Old 05-28-2016, 06:52 AM   #26
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I don't like drafting for backups I like to draft for starters or eventual starters.
There's more "potential" on this QB depth chart than we typically see with the Chiefs. I'd much prefer a bunch of young project type guys getting practice snaps than has-beens and never-will-bes like Huard, Daniel etc.

If the QB goes down, I don't really care if we have career backup Chase Daniel to limp us to a few wins with no real shot at winning in the post season. I'd much rather develop young guys and move on from them when they can't elevate themselves.
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