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Old 03-09-2015, 06:25 PM  
TLO TLO is offline
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**** Official 2015 Kansas City Royals Record Prediction Thread ****
Put your ten pounders on the table and make your predictions here.

94-68 for me. 1st place in the AL Central.

What you got?
Last edited by TLO; 03-09-2015 at 06:49 PM..
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Old 08-20-2015, 08:15 AM   #91
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90-72
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Old 08-20-2015, 08:15 AM   #92
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Seeing all the optimism in this thread and that Vegas has the KC over/under at 80 on wins and has KC with the 4th worst odds to win the division behind Det,Chisox and Clev I'm now more than a little concerned.

I'll go 78-84 and hope I'm way wrong.
I hope you bet that over / under at 80 - easy money.
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Old 08-20-2015, 08:18 AM   #93
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Good lord, some of these predictions were funny, but seemed like a lot of people here thought we'd be around 90 wins and either winning or almost winning the AL Central. That's not bad.

Most people just couldn't predict how bad the rest of the division would bomb.
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Old 08-20-2015, 08:30 AM   #94
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They're +5 games above expected record vs PyThag (run differential) and +10 vs BaseRuns (sequencing). Both are #1 in MLB. Ryan noted on the broadcast this weekend our run diffetential with 2 outs is +45 which is easily the highest in MLB and over half our total differential of +80. We seemingly are clutch and our pen owns all high leverage situations. The infield fly DP last night by Hochevar was hilarious but yet seemed so typical.



I love the Royals and all but at the same time, If this team really wins 100 games (or the Cards do) then MLB has a serious talent issue because we're not a great team.
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Old 08-20-2015, 08:37 AM   #95
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I'm less embarrassed about predicting 86 wins for the Royals (I actually thought I had them at 84) than I am at totally misreading the Indians and White Sox. I'm always going to pick low on my favorite teams. Plus, I had concerns that Volquez could come close to duplicating what he did in Pittsburgh. I actually was optimistic that Morales and Rios would bounce back (batting .500 there), but Volquez is the one guy who really proved me wrong.
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Old 08-20-2015, 09:27 AM   #96
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They're +5 games above expected record vs PyThag (run differential) and +10 vs BaseRuns (sequencing). Both are #1 in MLB. Ryan noted on the broadcast this weekend our run diffetential with 2 outs is +45 which is easily the highest in MLB and over half our total differential of +80. We seemingly are clutch and our pen owns all high leverage situations. The infield fly DP last night by Hochevar was hilarious but yet seemed so typical.



I love the Royals and all but at the same time, If this team really wins 100 games (or the Cards do) then MLB has a serious talent issue because we're not a great team.
You're a ****ing idiot
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Old 08-20-2015, 09:28 AM   #97
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"Not a great team ..."

Lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol
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Old 08-20-2015, 09:46 AM   #98
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Old 08-20-2015, 09:48 AM   #99
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I think I did it this way last year, so I'll try it again...

Ceiling 95-67
Ventura and Duffy are as good as last season, except over 200 innings, Edinson Volquez channels Ervin Santana, the bullpen dominates as usual, and Hosmer, Gordon and Rios power an improved offense.

Floor75-87
Ventura and Duffy both are DLed and miss significant time, Volquez reverts to his old (bad self), the bullpen is asked to do too much and suffers dimishing returns, Cain gets hurt again, Gordon has a horrid 1st half while recovering from his wrist surgery, Hosmer is again Jekyll and Hyde, Rios and Morales both suck.

Likely 87-75
Some of the good things in the ceiling happen. Some of the bad things in the floor happen. And the team ends up in the wildcard chase rather than flirting with 90 and taking the division.
I kind of cheated, but it looks like they're hitting the ceiling (With Cain and Morales standing in for Gordon and Rios, and the team doing this despite the rotation shitting its pants for a big part of the year).
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Old 08-20-2015, 09:59 AM   #100
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They're +5 games above expected record vs PyThag (run differential) and +10 vs BaseRuns (sequencing). Both are #1 in MLB. Ryan noted on the broadcast this weekend our run diffetential with 2 outs is +45 which is easily the highest in MLB and over half our total differential of +80. We seemingly are clutch and our pen owns all high leverage situations. The infield fly DP last night by Hochevar was hilarious but yet seemed so typical.



I love the Royals and all but at the same time, If this team really wins 100 games (or the Cards do) then MLB has a serious talent issue because we're not a great team.
And that's 100 percent in line with the 2014 Royals, who were +5 and +10, comparatively. (FTR, I'm seeing +4 and +10)

I just counted 8 MLB teams who are +4 in the Pythag (which is what the Royals are right now. Half of those are +5 or better).
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Old 08-20-2015, 10:07 AM   #101
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So pissed I didn't put coin on you guys for the over. Easy money.
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Old 08-20-2015, 10:14 AM   #102
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So pissed I didn't put coin on you guys for the over. Easy money.
The online over/unders were much better than the in-person ones. The best I found was Caesar's, which I believe was paying $150 on a $100 bid.

Still wish I'd plopped a grand on that, honestly, though. (It was 79.5). I'll live with the $50 profit that's coming, I guess.
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Old 08-20-2015, 10:18 AM   #103
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MLB predictions have always had a big variance from Vegas. Too long a season, injuries, and trades. Nobody would've known in FEB that we'd have Cueto and Zobrist on the team, or that Verlander-Cabrera-VMartinez would miss so much time, etc etc
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Old 08-20-2015, 10:25 AM   #104
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MLB predictions have always had a big variance from Vegas. Too long a season, injuries, and trades. Nobody would've known in FEB that we'd have Cueto and Zobrist on the team, or that Verlander-Cabrera-VMartinez would miss so much time, etc etc
That's what makes it fun, honesty, for me.

I was pretty sure Justin Verlander was just dogshit now, at least.

I also didn't expect JD Martinez to continue to roid up... oops, I mean "Continue to display tremendous opposite field power due to a swing change."

Not surprised Victor Martinez broke down. That's what tends to happen when you're using performance enhancers in your mid-30s.
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Old 08-20-2015, 10:26 AM   #105
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MLB predictions have always had a big variance from Vegas. Too long a season, injuries, and trades. Nobody would've known in FEB that we'd have Cueto and Zobrist on the team, or that Verlander-Cabrera-VMartinez would miss so much time, etc etc
Yeah, pretty sure that we were going to eclipse 79.5 or 80 wins (or whatever Vegas was setting the line at) loooong before Cueto and Zobrist came along. And anyone with half a brain knew that Verlander was done.
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