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Old 09-27-2017, 01:10 PM  
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DVOA projections
Quote:
DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) calculates a team's success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average.

DAVE - DVOA Adjusted for Variation Early. DAVE is our rating that combines the preseason projection with the results of early games to give us a better prediction of how each team will rank at the end of the year

Chiefs are looking good.

Quote:
Overall: 1
Offense: 1
Pass Offense: 4
Rush Offense: 1
Defense: 14
Pass Defense: 8
Rush Defense: 26


Quote:
Atlanta, Kansas City, and Pittsburgh are three of the four teams that have a positive DVOA rating in all three games this season. The fourth is a bit of a surprise: Tennessee. Wait, didn't the Titans lose to Oakland in Week 1? Yes, but the Titans now have a higher DVOA than the Raiders for their Week 1 loss because the NFL's play-by-play changes added two forced fumbles in the third quarter, both recovered by Oakland. The Titans are No. 5 overall in DVOA.
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Old 10-12-2017, 11:40 AM   #46
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Old 10-19-2017, 08:25 AM
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Old 10-25-2017, 09:20 AM   #47
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It's over.

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We have a new No. 1 team in DVOA this week, and it's probably not the team that you expect. Yes, the Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-2, tied with four other teams for the second-best record in the NFL right now.

However, the whole Pittsburgh offense is generally better than most fans think because conventional stats have been depressed by their difficult schedule. Based on average DVOA of opponent, only Cincinnati and Baltimore have played a tougher set of defenses so far this year.

Meanwhile, the Steelers defense has been outstanding. It's actually a little overrated by conventional stats, because Pittsburgh's defensive schedule ranks just 27th. But even after adjustments, the Steelers defense now ranked No. 2 behind only Jacksonville.

The Steelers opened up a healthy lead this week over the No. 2 Rams and No. 3 Chiefs.
Quote:
Overall: 3 (-2)
Offense: 1 (0)
Pass Offense: 1 (0)
Rush Offense: 3 (-1)
Defense: 25 (-4)
Pass Defense:19 (-2)
Rush Defense: 28 (+2)


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Old 10-25-2017, 09:25 AM   #48
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Chiefs defense sucks. If it doesn't improve it's gonna be no good in January for this chiefs team
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Old 11-01-2017, 04:17 PM   #49
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You won't find a lot of change in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings this week. The Pittsburgh Steelers are still No. 1, the Los Angeles Rams are still a shocking No. 2, and the rest of the top eight teams all stayed the same with a couple of them flipping around.
Chiefs drop to fourth in DVOA.

Quote:
Overall: 4 (-1)
Offense: 2 (-1)
Pass Offense: 2 (-1)
Rush Offense: 2 (+1)
Defense: 26 (-1)
Pass Defense: 20 (-1)
Rush Defense: 31 (-3)


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Old 11-08-2017, 11:49 AM   #50
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Chiefs drop to 7th in DVOA. Super Bowl odds take a massive hit. WAHEY!

Oh, and we are officially the 32nd ranked DVOA run defense.

Quote:
Overall: 7 (-3)
Offense: 2 (0)
Pass Offense: 3 (-1)
Rush Offense: 4 (-2)
Defense: 26 (0)
Pass Defense: 20 (0)
Rush Defense: 32 (-1)


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Old 11-08-2017, 05:10 PM   #51
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2nd best offense. (QB change!)
26th ranked defense. (Bob Sutton's just fine; nothing to see here!)
19th ranked offensive line.. (well, they're not bottom 5, asshole!)
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Old 11-08-2017, 05:12 PM   #52
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Get out of my thread, jerk.
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Old 11-08-2017, 05:16 PM   #53
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
Get out of my thread, jerk.
make me, nerd-boy.

( your thread.. your forum.. lolz )
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Old 11-28-2017, 06:49 PM   #54
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Well, it was a nice fantasy guys.



Updated DVOA rankings:

Overall - 10th
Offense - 8th
Pass - 10th
Rush - 6th
Defense - 24th
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Old 11-28-2017, 07:36 PM   #55
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Old 01-02-2018, 01:24 PM   #56
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Final DVOA rankings:

Overall - 10th
Offense - 4th
Pass offense - 8th
Rush offense - 5th

Defense - 30th
Pass defense - 23rd
Rush defense - 32nd

AFC Championship game odds: 11.5%
Super Bowl odds: 2.9%
Super Bowl win odds: 0.9% (9th out of 12 teams)
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