Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
Huh? My predictions in this thread were mostly about HTML5 adoption rates and the phasing out of FLASH... and guess what.. now that it is one year later... I was right. Flash is still HUGE on the web and HTML5 support is spotty at best. Yes "there's an app for that" but I STILL don't want a goddamn app for every website I might want to go to. And a perfect FAIL example is the YouTube app. It works great if you only want access to half the content out there.
The only other "prediction" I made was regarding the Gemini tablet which had great specs and just never got released here in the States. I was dead wrong on that one.
BTW I was not a fan of Android back when this thread started either... I preferred WebOS. Android has made huge strides since then though.
I really haven't predicted much until recently. Which I assume you aren't talking about since they are all predictions in the last couple months and it'd be kinda hard to judge those so soon.
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LOL...
Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
I still don't get it guys... why not wait a month(Date 04-06-2010) and get the ICD Gemini... runs on Android 2.1(so you can actually view a FLASH website) - it is 2" longer - faster processor - sdcard slot - fm radio - makes VOICE CALLS - can receive/send SMS and MMS - has both a forward facing and rear camera with autofocus - HD VIDEO SUPPORT - can support USB peripherals - AND has built in GPS.
Personally I will wait until the MS Courier comes out to look into that space...
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Or....
Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
AND.. if 12-18 months(date 05-01-2010) is how long it takes to get a majority of the web converted to a standard that AS OF RIGHT NOW has yet to be determined... why buy a device NOW that will be outdated by the time it is useful?
Also, I don't care if IE and Safari are 60 or even 80% of the browser market.. if Google decided to put it's weight behind VP8... either IE and Safari will support it as well OR Chrome, Mozilla and Opera will replace them... end of story.
People will use whatever browser supports the content .. and right now Google controls the lion's share of content.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
But as I pointed out, people are excited about WebM for good reasons. It will drastically cut storage size while still performing marginally better than h.264 (all the big players have signed on for hardware support). Combine that with the fact that since it is TRULY open source, we should see pretty serious community development.
WebM is a good thing... but just like h.264/html5 supposedly replacing Flash video... it too will take awhile. Flash simply isn't going anywhere soon.
Now that Android 2.2 is ready for prime time... there isn't much reason (unless battery life is the key factor) to go with an ipad over an Android tablet(05-20-2010.... like 20 million iPad sales ago...). The prototypes are all making the rounds now, so expect them to hit market in June and July.
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Or....
Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
ok, NO I said 100 apps due to the fact that I may vist 100 sites for video content.. each requiring a different app... try to keep up.
Seriously, bet me on the APP versus standards based web model ... let's see which is more sustainable. It's a proprietary crap, half-assed model that will FAIL. It simply fullfills a need NOW that in 12-18 months is gone. I made this same Apple bet 15 years ago and won it.. please tell me you'll put your money where your mouth is on this. You don't ACTUALLY believe that an APP based model isn't going BACKWARDS? As I said before, even Jobs knows better.
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And you predicted Youtube to drop H264 support a year ago
(very likely)...
Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
For how long? YouTube is encoding HD video in WebM format from now on... what happens if they stop support for h264 all together (very likely)... YouTube, Google and the rest are adopting something crazy called.. OPEN SOURCE STANDARDS... if Apple is smart (and so far they have been stubborn) they will follow suit.. if not.. they wil ONCE AGAIN face bankruptcy due to Jobs' piss ignorant arogance... I have never seen a man take GREAT technology and piss away opportunity like he can... (NeXT)
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Yeah... they almost bankrupt on the iPad...
And WebM..... yeah...
Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
Those sites COULD serve h.264 via HTML5... but they don't and now it looks like they never will... why invest in and chase a dying codec?. And NO h.264 is not a de facto standard (it was headed that way, I will admit)... the open source community resisted it and looks to have won this battle (with Google's considerable help). The state of web video will remain a fragmented mess for the next year or two while WebM takes hold...
Fact: The industry is moving towards WebM because it performs as well, has a smaller footprint and is FREE. All the major mobile hardware manufacturers are on board and even Intel has said they are willing to optimize for it as it becomes popular. It's popularity is assured by the fact that YouTube is migrating to it.
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Nope... you haven't been predicting anything through this thread...
Just sayin....