Quote:
Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP
I understand what you meant. I stand by my statement: I think regardless of position drafted, teams that draft in the top-10 are likely to have records below 0.500 following that draft.
Look at the 2007 draft which gives us 6 years of data:
Code:
2007 Draft 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total
W L W L W L W L W L W L W L %
1 OAK QB JaMarcus Russell 4 12 5 11 5 11 8 8 8 8 4 12 34 62 0.354
2 DET WR Calvin Johnson 7 9 0 16 2 14 6 10 10 6 4 12 29 67 0.302
3 CLE OT Joe Thomas 10 6 4 12 5 11 5 11 4 12 5 11 33 63 0.344
4 TB DE Gaines Adams 9 7 9 7 3 13 10 6 4 12 7 9 42 54 0.438
5 ARI OT Levi Brown 8 8 9 7 10 6 5 11 8 8 5 11 45 51 0.469
6 WAS SS LaRon Landry 9 7 8 8 4 12 6 10 5 11 10 6 42 54 0.438
7 MIN RB Adrian Peterson 8 8 10 6 12 4 6 10 3 13 10 6 49 47 0.510
8 ATL DE Jamaal Anderson 4 12 11 5 9 7 13 3 10 6 13 3 60 36 0.625
9 MIA WR Ted Ginn Jr. 1 15 11 5 7 9 7 9 6 10 7 9 39 57 0.406
10 HOU DT Amobi Okoye 8 8 8 8 9 7 6 10 10 6 12 4 53 43 0.552
70% of the teams have losing records 6 years following their top-10 selection. |
And only 4 of those teams drafted a quarterback in the top 10. Oakland with Russell, Detroit with Stafford, Falcons with Ryan and Skins with RGIII.