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In the last 20 SBs:
14 were won by a 1st round QB
8 of them were still playing for the team that drafted them
9 were lost by a first round QB
8 of them were still playing for the team that drafted them
7 1st round QBs have made it to the SB on a team other than the one that drafted them, all but 1 (Kerry Collins) won. He happened to be playing another 1st round QB on his second team.
In light of this, I am predicting a Super Bowl win for the Broncos.
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