Thread: Chiefs Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012
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Old 09-27-2012, 05:56 AM   #36
Mr. Flopnuts Mr. Flopnuts is offline
FINALLY! The wait is over.
 
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Join Date: Mar 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
You're reading it backward. The 0 to 100 scale represents the percent odds of the home team winning. The slider is always closer to the favorite.

I use advancednflstats to determine the game odds and those are updated weekly. Later this week, Brian Burke, author of advancednflstats.com, will publish the game odds in the NY Times blog. Those game odds will be within a couple percentage points of the game odds in the software. Both Brian and I calculate the game odds from his generic team efficiency ratings, but the way we award HFA is slightly different.

BTW, you can move the sliders to do what-if analyses.
Love it. Gonna play around with it some more tonight. Thanks for the tip. I've always admired it from afar. Much like I've always admired Muff Boudain.
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