Quote:
Originally Posted by RunKC
FWIW they were talking on NFLN about velocity and the one thing that can counteract that deficiency? Quick release.
Watson has got that.
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.5 hundredths of a second quicker than average.
Five. Hundredths. That's simply not enough to make up for an objectively poor arm.
Remember that he loses about .15 seconds vs. Mahomes on a 20 yard throw (or a roughly 15 yard out from the near hashmarks; forget about throwing to the far hash with sub-standard arm strength).
So he makes up a third of that with his release? So he goes from having a ball that's 4 feet behind Mahomes at the same moment in time to a ball that's 2.5 ft behind; still more than enough for a CB to drive on it and knock it away.
And compared to Webb he'd be about .11 seconds behind so he'd cut it in half. It was about 2.8 ft down to a foot and half or so; still enough for a window to close on a basic 10 yard out.
That arm strength is worrisome as hell and you're whistling past the graveyard if you just ignore it. No, the release is not enough to make up for it; you're relying on him simply having better anticipation than everyone else and I don't know why you would do that. He didn't run a complicated offense and he made more poor decisions/throws than anyone in college football over the past year or two. The guy has red flags everywhere.
BUT HE'S A WINNER!!!!!