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Way too early 2019 Mock Drafts
http://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2018/in...und-picks-2019
https://www.seccountry.com/sec/2019-...nfl-mock-draft
We are one week since the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. It has been five days since the draft wrapped up as a whole.
Knee-jerk reactions have long since happened and the early analysis of each team’s haul has been extensive. Let’s look ahead to 2019, shall we?
ESPN’s Todd McShay put out his first mock draft for 2019 earlier today. He’ll go through a lot more versions of it before next April.
In McShay’s top 10, he has five defensive linemen and three offensive linemen. That’s a lot of beef early. Houston defensive tackle Ed Oliver is the No. 1 overall pick. A couple of Clemson defensive linemen round it out.
A few more important notes before we launch into my 2019 way-too-early mock draft:
Most of my evaluations below came from what I've been able to see watching players in person or on TV. I start watching tape next week, so we still have a ton of work to do on everyone in the 2019 class.
Last year, 12 players who were featured in my way-too-early mock draft ended up going in the 2018 first round. As we saw with Maurice Hurst, injuries or medical issues are impossible to predict and can affect draft stock.
I didn't decide on the draft order. It was generated by Football Outsiders, using its early projected records for the 2018 season.
Underclassmen are noted with an asterisk.
Spoiler!
2019 McShay Mock Draft:
1. Buffalo Bills Ed Oliver, DT, Houston*
A force on the inside, Oliver (listed at 6-3, 290) is immensely talented. He has a ridiculous 38.5 tackles for loss and 10.5 sacks in his first two seasons.
2. Chicago Bears Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State*
Yes, he is the younger brother of Chargers DE Joey Bosa. And yes, he can also rush the passer and stop the run in his own right (8.5 sacks, 16 TFL last season).
3. New York Giants Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan*
Noticing a pattern? Gary is listed at 6-foot-5, 281 pounds, and versatile, so he can fit at DE or DT depending on the scheme. He racked up 5.5 sacks last season after 0.5 his freshman season.
Note: If the Giants are actually 5-11 (as the Football Outsiders sim suggests) and picking No. 3 overall, I'd give them a QB since I'd have to assume it's time to move on from Eli Manning. But I'm not sold on any of these QBs at this point in the process.
4. New York Jets Greg Little, OT, Mississippi*
Listed at 6-foot-6, 325 pounds, he's your classic blindside protector.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trey Adams, OT, Washington*
Adams tore his ACL in October 2017, missed the rest of the season and decided to go back to school as a result.
6. Indianapolis Colts Andraez 'Greedy' Williams, CB, LSU*
A big corner (listed at 6-foot-2, 183 pounds), Greedy led the SEC with six interceptions in his freshman season.
7. Denver Broncos Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama*
A 2017 first-team All-SEC selection, Williams is another talented offensive lineman.
8. Arizona Cardinals Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
Baker played sparingly his first two seasons but had a terrific junior campaign (44 tackles, 3 INTs) for the Bulldogs.
9. Detroit Lions Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson*
Lawrence's production dipped a bit last season, but he's a highly-skilled, big-bodied (6-foot-5, 340 pounds) disruptive force on the interior.
10. Kansas City Chiefs Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson*
Ferrell had 9.5 sacks and 18.0 tackles for loss last season at Clemson, and there was talk he'd have been a top-10 pick in this class.
11. Cleveland Browns A.J. Brown, WR, Mississippi*
All Brown did last season was lead the SEC in receiving yards (1,252) and touchdowns (11) as a true sophomore.
12. Cincinnati Bengals Noah Fant, TE, Iowa*
Fant led the Big Ten in TDs (11) and averaged 16.5 yards per reception in 2017.
13. Washington Redskins Anfernee Jennings, LB, Alabama*
The redshirt junior started to come on strong last season (6.0 tackles for loss), and should put up big numbers this season with Alabama's exodus of defensive talent to the NFL the past two seasons.
14. Carolina Panthers Lukas Dennis, S, Boston College*
The 5-foot-11 defensive back led the ACC in interceptions (7) and return yardage off of those interceptions (185).
15. Miami Dolphins Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn*
Brown (6-foot-5, 316 pounds) had a strong sophomore season with 57 tackles, 9.5 TFL and 3.0 sacks.
16. San Francisco 49ers Chauncey Gardner, S, Florida*
The rangy safety had two interceptions last season for a stingy Florida defense.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Lock went back to school for his senior season, despite leading the SEC in passing yards (3,964) and passing yards per attempt (9.5).
18. Oakland Raiders Bryce Love, RB, Stanford
The diminutive (5-foot-10, 186 pounds) running back played through an ankle injury and finished second in the Heisman voting, compiling 2,118 rushing yards on the season (second in the nation).
19. Seattle Seahawks David Edwards, OL, Wisconsin*
The Seahawks continually need help on their offensive line, and Edwards could be a fit.
20. Atlanta Falcons Beau Benzschawel, OG, Wisconsin
Another talented Wisconsin offensive lineman could help protect quarterback Matt Ryan.
21. Baltimore Ravens Devin White, LB, LSU
White was a tackling machine last season, racking up 133 total tackles, including a nation-leading 96 assisted ones.
22. Tennessee Titans Michael Deiter, OT, Wisconsin*
Yes, Deiter (6-6, 328) could be the third member of Wisconsin's O-line to go in the first round next season.
23. Dallas Cowboys Dre'Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State*
The redshirt junior should have a chance to thrive on a talented Ohio State defense -- and lining up alongside Nick Bosa.
24. Minnesota Vikings Zach Allen, DE, Boston College
The senior has had back-to-back seasons of double-digit tackles for loss, and has the potential to go higher than talented teammate Harold Landry (second round, 2018 draft).
25. Houston Texans N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State*
New ASU coach Herm Edwards will love having the big (6-4, 216) receiver who ranked second in the Pac-12 in receiving yards (1,142) in 2017, for at least a season.
26. Los Angeles Chargers Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon*
Philip Rivers (age 36) isn't getting younger and Los Angeles needs to find his eventual replacement. Herbert played only eight games due to injury last season, but has a ton of potential.
27. Los Angeles Rams Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
The star Kentucky linebacker was another potential 2018 first-round pick who decided to return for his senior season.
28. Philadelphia Eagles Deebo Samuel, WR, South Carolina
The talent is there, but injuries (18 games played in three seasons) have slowed Samuel's progress.
29. Green Bay Packers (from NO) Raekwon Davis, DL, Alabama*
Davis was a terror in a rotational role (8.5 sacks) last season and looked unstoppable at times in the College Football Playoff National Championship.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers Rodney Anderson, RB, Oklahoma
There are off-field concerns for Anderson, but the on-field talent is clearly there. How much will he miss Dimitri Flowers as a blocker?
31. Green Bay Packers Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State
The Michigan State transfer had a huge junior season with 10.5 sacks and 15.5 TFL.
32. New England Patriots Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Wilkins will play several positions along Clemson's incredibly talented defensive line.
With the first pick, McShay went with Houston defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who has already declared for the 2019 NFL Draft.
The first SEC player to come off the board is Ole Miss left tackle Greg Little, who has going No. 4 to the New York Jets. Half of the top 8 picks are SEC players, as McShay has LSU cornerback Greedy Williams going with pick No. 6, Alabama offensive tackle Jonah Williams going with pick No. 7 and Georgia cornerback Deandre Baker going with pick No. 8.
In addition to the top offensive tackle and cornerback prospects, McShay also pegged the SEC to have the first wide receiver(AJ Brown of Ole Miss), linebacker (Alabama’s Anfernee Jennings) and quarterback(Missouri’s Drew Lock) taken in the draft.
In all, McShay has 14 SEC players being taken in the first round, which would top the 10 taken in the 2018 NFL Draft. And maybe even more impressive, 10 SEC schools have a player listed in the mock draft.
Of course it’s not a lock that these players all come out or turn into first round picks next year. Last year in McShay’s first 2018 mock draft, he pegged 12 of the 32 first round picks.
Below you can see where all the SEC players are projected to be picked by McShay.
2019 NFL mock Draft: Todd McShay
Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss, pick No. 4 to the New York Jets
Greedy Williams, CB, LSU, pick No. 6 to the Indianapolis Colts
Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama, pick No. 7 to the Denver Broncos
Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia, pick No. 8 to the Arizona Cardinals
AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss, pick No. 11 to the Cleveland Browns
Anfernee Jennings, LB, Alabama, pick No. 13 to the Washington Redskins
Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn, pick No. 15 to the Miami Dolphins
Chauncey Gardner, S, Florida, pick No. 16 to the San Francisco 49ers
Drew Lock, QB, Missouri, pick No. 17 to the Jacksonville Jaguars
Devin White, LB, LSU, pick No. 21 to the Baltimore Ravens
Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky, pick No. 27 to the Los Angeles Rams
Deebo Samuel, WR, South Carolina, pick No. 28 to the Philadelphia Eagles
Raekwon Davis, DL, Alabama, pick No. 29 to the Green Bay Packers
Montez Sweat, DL, Mississippi State, pick No. 31 to the Green Bay Packers
There were a handful of Big Ten names in McShay’s first-round predictions, including Ohio State’s Nick Bosa, Michigan’s Rashan Gary and Iowa’s Noah Fant.
Here’s where McShay had Big Ten players in his early 2019 mock draft:
Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State: No. 2
Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan: No. 3
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa: No. 12
David Edwards, OL, Wisconsin: No. 19
Beau Benzschawel, OG, Wisconsin: No. 20
Michael Deiter, T, Wisconsin: No. 22
Dre’Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State: No. 23
It’s no surprise Bosa’s name is high on this list. The talented pass rusher is seen by many analysts as a surefire top-10 pick next year. Depending on how well his junior season at Ohio State goes, Bosa could wind up being a higher draft pick than his brother. Joey Bosa was the No. 3 overall pick by the Chargers in 2016.
Gary will battle Bosa for the title of Big Ten Defensive Lineman of the Year in 2018 and could also challenge him as the top defensive end in next year’s draft. Gary took a big step forward as a sophomore in 2017 and should be causing havoc in backfields again this season.
Fant, meanwhile, might be the best player in the Big Ten casual fans don’t know about. The Iowa tight end caught 11 touchdown passes in 2017 and should put up big numbers in 2018. At 6-foot-5, 241 pounds, NFL teams will love Fant’s size and production.
The highest selected Pac-12 player was Washington offensive tackle Trey Adams at No. 5 overall. Adams tore his ACL in 2017, but at 6-foot-8, 327 pounds he is a mammoth tackle who could be a 10-year starter in the NFL.
Other Pac-12 picks include:
Stanford running back Bryce Love (No. 18)
Arizona State receiver N’Keal Harry (No. 25) Oregon QB Justin Herbert (No. 26).
Love is an intriguing prospect because of his speed, receiving ability and production. He finished second in the Heisman voting, gaining 2,118 rushing yards in 2017. However, Love is just 5-foot-10 and does not have the build of an every down back at the next level.
Harry is a playmaker, flat out. He’s a big receiver at 6-foot-4, 216 pounds receiver who had 1,142 receiving yards in 2017. It would not be surprising if he is a top-10 pick by the end of this season. He could definitely be the first receiver taken in the 2019 draft.
Last, McShay has Justin Herbert going in the first-round. While Herbert has yet to put together a full season, some analysts have him ranked as the best QB in the 2019 draft class. At 6-foot-6, he has the ideal frame and arm to be a top-five draft pick.
The 2019 NFL Draft will be held April 25-27.
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