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Old 02-21-2013, 08:16 AM   #235
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
But...But... the Republicans have #Obamaquester

The Republicans are not idiots, they will see the real #'s privately and will close loopholes for the rich before or soon after the deadline just for self preservation purposes.
I honestly think they're going to fly through the sequester, and hope the cudgel that slams the economy early in the month will weaken the DNP's resolve for the budget fight.

I don't know how successful that would be. Democrats have all the leverage right now, they've already raped the GOP on the fiscal cliff and the debt ceiling.

The GOP got the great deal that they got in the summer of 2011 because they had the DNP convinced that they were willing to cut the baby in half. The DNP is calling this bluff over and over again now, and the GOP folds. Because, of course, they don't want the economy to tank.

But I don't think they can make another lopsided deal on the sequester and expect a lot of their candidates to survive the inevitable Tea Party primary challenges in 2014. So they'll stand their ground on the sequester, and try to drive pressure on the DNP during the budget fight.

The one exception to all this theorizing is that the GOP was rolled in these previous two cliff fights because the Obama administration was effective at getting the business community to lean incredibly hard on them, putting them in ever tenuous position -- they had to publicly claim they were willing to go off a cliff, while assuring businesses they had absolutely no interest in doing that. This of course robbed them of all their leverage. And I can't help but think the military industrial complex that the GOP has made a career out of supporting will be leaning on them incredibly hard on the sequester.

This time around, however, the GOP is trying to just pin the blame on Obama rather than assure anybody of anything. And, well, the polls suggest how well that's working out for them.
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