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Old 04-16-2024, 11:18 AM   #19
Couch-Potato Couch-Potato is offline
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Originally Posted by Couch-Potato View Post
This makes a lot of sense bc team's devalue next year's picks if offered this year. For instance, the Chiefs might have to offer next year's 1st to get to #15 if we want to take BTJ, this year we'd have to discount the value of next year's pick by at least 100 points and probably offer our extra 5th, or whatever, to put the cherry on top, but next year the value of that 1st round pick is back to its original so that's a win for the Colts in this hypothetical.
I'd add to this that offering x2 1sts for WR is a risky strategy. Pretty sure I saw a stat in the other thread that said 64% of 1st round WR's bust. I'd prob feel more comfortable with a trade using TEN's 2025 high-end 3rd rounder.

Ultimately, I think Veach has narrowed in on the best value at WR comes from the 2nd round. As an example, I'd bet we could flip next year's second or extra 3rd to make a similar move to the above in the 2nd. If we lost next year's 2nd, we'd still have TEN high value 3rd round pick, but it's actually that TEN pick that I think we're most likely to deal.
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