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Originally Posted by SNR
Fox is just like Herm and Marty. He's notorious for calling that kind of shit on gameday in the name of clock management.
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Fox was playing the percentages...
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Fox said he played the percentages on all the calls—nothing more, nothing less.
According to his calculations:
—There's a 38 to 40 percent chance of converting a third-and-7 into a first down.
—By punting and giving Baltimore the ball on its 23-yard line, trailing by a touchdown with 1:09 left and no timeouts, the Broncos had a 97 percent chance of winning.
—That percentage spiked to 99.9 percent when the Ravens had the ball on the 30 with 41 seconds left.
Turned out, the Broncos are a ".1 percenter."
"I mean this in all sincerity, if I felt like we were going to give up a 70-yard touchdown pass with 31 seconds to go, we might have re-evaluated that," Fox said. "But that's not what the percentages said."
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http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/stor...c-divisional-p