Quote:
Originally Posted by unlurking
I have to disagree with your conclusions, at least with the earlier QB's. While yes, there were fewer picks per round, that is due to the fact that there were fewer teams. I checked the 1956 draft (Starr) and 1964 draft (Staubach) which had 12 & 14 teams respectively. The 1956 draft averaged 30 picks per team, while the 1964 draft averaged 20 picks per team. The 2013 draft averaged 7.9 picks per team (32 teams).
In 1993 (Green), there were 28 teams with an average of 8 picks per team. In 1992 (Johnson), there were 28 teams with an average 12 picks per team. Much closer to the 2013 draft in terms of picks by team.
To me, that means any of the four players listed would have to be have been picked before 7.9 x n (# of teams) in their draft year in order to not be considered a UDFA in comparison to a 2013 UDFA. For simplicity, I'll just round up to 8.
Starr:
8 (picks per team) x 12 (total teams) = 96
Picked at 200, he is well in to comparable UDFA range
Staubach:
8 (picks per team) x 14 (total teams) = 112
Picked at 129, he is also comparable to a 2013 UDFA
Green:
8 (picks per team) x 28 (total teams) = 224
Picked at 222, he just escapes being Mr. Irrelevant in 2013
Johnson:
8 (picks per team) x 28 (total teams) = 224
Picked at 227, he just misses and becomes a UDFA
At least that's the way I see it. Let me know if I'm missing or overlooking something.
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did you miss the fact that there were 254 picks in this this draft? you must have. both johnson and green would've been drafted easily. as per staubach, he's an outlier--he would've been picked much higher had he not had the whole navy thing. he's an outlier. now, bart starr? he would've been a late-round flier (as he essentially was for the packers). started for freaking alabama and flashed at times--he was a bit bradyesque, actually--not that impressive a college career, but flashed and didn't do that well before the draft.