Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
I'm willing to make exceptions.
Maybe not for Gerrit Cole, but if a Strasburg or David Price is sitting there? I'll take a swing. I think the likelihood of GREAT college pitchers becoming more common in the MLB draft is going to go up with the new CBA. More guys will go to college rather than accept a late-round, over-slot deal.
If you're playing the percentages, college hitter is the least likely to bust. Followed closely by HS hitter and college pitcher (which are very close). HS pitcher has, by far, the WORST success rate.
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Strasburg is the exact reason why I'm not particularly interested in the position. Highly projectible, insanely talented, relatively "safe," and he still loses a year to Tommy Johns.
The counter-argument for my stance, however, is that the first round in '09 was a complete bag of shit for position players not named Trout.