Here are the specifics: (first number listed in parenthesis is the point differential, letters are the teams remaining on the schedule, or their record)
*Scrub team has been mathematically eliminated
Team A: 7-4 (I'm behind 202) (Scrub team, me)
Team B: 7-4 (behind 76) (F, scrub team)
Team C: 7-4 (behind 68) (H, E)
Team D: 7-4 (I'm ahead 27) (scrub team, F)
Team E: 6-5 (behind 111) (G, C)
Team F: 6-5 (behind 66) (B, D)
Team G: 6-5 (behind 33) (E, scrub)
Team H: 6-5 (behind 26) (C, scrub)
I'm not seeing many scenarios in which I can get in.
Team E and Team G play each other, so the best they can finish is 7-6.
Team E has a legit chance to lose out.
Team D has a good chance of losing out, but would mean Team F gets to 7 wins.
And of course, I have to win my matchup over Team A in the finale.
Part of me wants to play this week out and see what happens, but it could cost me a spot next year. Picking 4th guarantees me an Elite QB or Foster - if I tank this week, I'm all but guaranteed the 3rd pick, which guarantees me an Elite QB.