I think offing Todd quickly would be a wasted opportunity to flesh out a mysterious character and increase conflict within the group over the next 3 episodes. Todd's gone from "helpful" exterminator crew member to being awfully quick -- and good -- with a handgun. What's his background? Who is he?
What happens if Walt protects Todd while Jesse loses it over a kid being killed?
Vince Gilligan has indicated that Episode 8 (the end of this "half-season") will have some bad, bad stuff in it. That could definitely be Skyler getting whacked. Maybe Mike.
But killing Jesse at the midway point would be a Fring-like "HOLY ****" end to the 8-episode run and set up Walt's complete spiral downward the final 8 eps next year.
I've always thought the two deaths that would deliver the most emotional punch would be Walt Jr.'s or Jesse's. (I've already mentioned my darkest ending: Skyler, Walt Jr. and the baby all get killed, Walt survives knowing that all the stuff he did "for his family" wound up getting them all killed.)
That's my .02 of speculation. But I can certainly envision lots of alternate plots.
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