Quote:
Originally Posted by htismaqe
I don't think people understand the 13-3 thing. It isn't about the Chiefs and it's not just a couple of games.
Since 1993, no AFC team finishing 13-3 has ever won a Super Bowl. Furthermore, a startling TWELVE of 17 teams have lost at home after a bye week.
As an AFC team, the Chiefs DO NOT want to finish 13-3. Here is a list of the 13-3 teams over the last 25 years, which encompasses the era of modern free agency.
2017 - Steelers lost first game at home after bye. Patriots lost Super Bowl.
2013 - Broncos lost in the Super Bowl.
2012 - Broncos lost first game at home after bye.
2011 - Patriots lost Super Bowl.
2009 - Chargers lost first game at home after bye.
2008 - Titans lost first game at home after bye.
2007 - Colts lost first game at home after bye.
2006 - Ravens lost first game at home after bye.
2005 - Broncos lost AFC Championship.
2003 - Chiefs lost first game at home after bye.
2005 - Steelers lost AFC Championship.
2000 - Titans lost first game at home after bye.
1999 - Colts lost first game at home after bye (to the 13-3 Titans). Titans lost Super Bowl.
1997 - Chiefs lost first game at home after bye.
1996 - Broncos lost first game at home after bye.
1995 - Chiefs lost first game at home after bye.
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You're making patterns out of completely unrelated events. I think there is a current thread about lottery tickets that has some info on the Gambler's Fallacy.
Just to test this theory, let's say I just flipped a coin and it landed Tails 6 consecutive times. What would you bet on for the next flip and why?