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Old 12-09-2017, 04:20 PM   #11
Chief Pagan Chief Pagan is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
How does that 2-yard pass on 3rd-and-10 work out? According to the ESPN Stats & Information Group, quarterback passes thrown no more than 2 yards beyond the line of scrimmage on third down with at least 10 yards to go have been converted only 10.9 percent of the time this season. On throws that travel at least 10 yards, quarterbacks have converted 38.6 percent of the time. So an offense can more than triple its conversion rate just by doing the most obvious thing when trying to move the chains: throwing the ball past the imaginary yellow line on your TV screen.
So you automatically convert 38.6 percent of the time you throw it 10 yards?

Or 30 percent of the time, when a receiver looks open enough to throw to, there is a 38.6 percent conversion and the other 70 percent of the time when no one is open down field the QB dumps it short?

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