Quote:
Originally Posted by Lex Luthor
I have never been a believer in the theory that BABIP differences are due simply to "luck", and that eventually the player or team will revert back to the mean. BABIP is the most meaningless and bogus statistic there is.
|
Good lord. I already addressed this by pointing out our awful 100 loss teams BABIP'D .300
Quote:
|
Hosmer is a great example of that. When you hit a weak ground ball to the second baseman EVERY FREAKING TIME, it's not bad luck that causes your batting average to be under .200. It's bad hitting, and there's no reason to think it's going to magically change just because somebody at Fangraphs decided that BABIP is based upon pure luck.
|
It wasn't "decided by somebody at FG". Get a Grip. There have been 2,260 team seasons in baseball. The all-time record low BABIP is 241 (1968 Spankees). Only four ended <.250. We are currently at .233
If you'll bet me every penny you have, I'll accept and I'll set the min Royals finish at .265, giving you a massive cushion.