Quote:
Originally Posted by Hog Farmer
Why does everyone think a QB has to be drafted in rd 1 to be a potential replacement ? With good scouting which we have you can nail a playmaker nearly every time in the 1st round with exception to the QB position. Drafting QBs is a crap shoot except for once every 10 years a no brainer is there and then he gets taken in the top 5. If you're a good team and always drafting at the 25 spot then you have to give up your entire draft to move that high.
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A QB doesn't have to be drafted in round 1. The ones that show any promise whatsoever, more than holding a clipboard for the next 10 years, tend to be drafted in round 1. It is the one position in the sport that is over-drafted, significantly, every single year.
There is not a true 1st round QB in this year's draft, if you want to be extremely realistic about their value within their position versus that in other positions. At best, most are actually second round talents.
That said, if you want that 2nd round talent, and you're a team picking at the bottom of the round, there isn't a chance that guy is there outside the top 10 or so picks of the 2nd round. And that's what is left of any that didn't get snatched up in round 1 already because NFL teams or so insanely desperate to find QBs.
I would bet that one of Trubisky, Watson, Kizer, or Mahomes will be there at 27, but I doubt more than one of those are. After those 4, there is a significant drop-off in talent and potential with the closest being either Peterman, an Alex Smith-esque player with seemingly limited upside, or Webb, a less accurate Nick Foles clone.
So, you almost have to take a shot early and hope, or you do it next year in the same type of situation. It's not really a matter of if you should toss a first at a QB and hope you strike gold, it's when. This year's group has some potential but all of them are young and need refinement. Not a bad time to jump for a bottom of the round team with an established starter to give them time.