Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry
Here is the stupidity in run differential - you could win 3 straight games at 1-0, 2-1, 1-0. Then lose 10-0. Yet your run differential would be -1.75 even though you went 3-1 in that stretch.
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Over a small sample size absolutely. Run differential tends to even out over the season and reflect reality at least up to that point. If in August a team is 2 games over yet - 80 in run differential, that team is flawed and probably fortunate to even be over .500.
Sure that team can get hot and go on a run thru October rendering the whole thing moot but you cant bank on that happening. Most of the teams are who they are at that point and run differential typically pegs the winners from the losers.