[Toby Waller]

Originally Posted by RunKC

IMO it was..

Spoiler!

Abraham. "You took that one like a champ" was what Negan said after his first swing of Lucille. Obviously Rick isn't gonna die. Carl, Rosita, Maggie, Glenn and Mullett Head would be out after one swing. Michonne, Daryl and Abraham seem like the only tough probabilities of the group that would react that way.

Abraham stood firm like he wasn't scared when Negan first talked him, so he's my best guess.

He played eeny meeny so your theory of picking doesn't work.
It's either Carl, Mullet or Army guy