Quote:
Originally Posted by ram29jackson
its a starting point for math odds of a team making it to a super bowl and or winning it.
16 games times 32 teams..and thenyou would continue with averages of converting 3rd downs or recovering fumbles and such.
the point is.. anyone saying a team only has a 1 in 32 chance of getting to a super bowl really doesn't understand true odds on probability.
1 in 32 is whether you open your door and leave for work like you did a thousand times before every morning. 1 in 32 is like saying its really easy to get to a super bowl. Its counter to actual intelligent common sense and logic.
|
You are right that it wouldn't be 1 in 32. But that is all you are right about. The odds are different for each team based on how good the team is. The odds of the Broncos making the SB are pretty good, but the odds of the Raiders making it are pretty close to zero.