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Originally Posted by ThaVirus
I was actually just ****ing around with KnowMo, but now that you mention it...
It's funny that you didn't include number of total touches in the equation here. TD's 1495 to JC's 1154. With JC, you're getting more than a full yard's worth of production with each touch but also a fumble thrown in the mix more frequently.
Davis scored a TD, on average, once every 25 touches to Jamaal's 28 but can we even compare the two? TD played his best four years with a HOFer and the possible GOAT running behind an offensive line that was... Well, let's just say it- cheap as ****. Meanwhile, Jamaal's played on some of the league's worst offenses, in no way because of him, with the likes of Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn.
Out of curiosity, do you think Jamaal's production wouldn't have dwarfed TD's if the two were swapped?
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I don't think so. JC simply isn't an every down, pound the defense into submission type back. TD averaged 21 carries per game, JC 13. That gave TD more opportunities, but it is also harder to produce at a high level on a by-down basis when you are a larger part of your team's gameplan. Similarly, a blitzing LB or S is going to have a higher success rate than a DE/OLB who rushes on every down. This is not due to a higher pass-rushing skill level, but the fact that the OL knows that the DE/OLB is coming on every play.
TD's physicality in an era that predated many of the offense-friendly rule changes was an aspect that JC doesn't have, just like JC's elusiveness is an aspect that TD didn't have.
Many of your points can be seen from the flip side as well. JC working with poor QBs opens up opportunities in the passing game for him, many passes that should go downfield end up going to him as a checkdown. YPR is naturally higher than YPC, because incomplete passes and even drops are not counted against the receiver. 16% of JC's touches are passes (21% in 2013), while only 10% of TD's were, which raises JC's yards per touch.
The fact that TD outscored JC on a per-touch basis while also being depended on more as an every down back is staggering.