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ESPN QBR tries and does some smart things. But end result can be F'd up.
Carson Palmer
Christian Ponder
Alex Smith
How does Smith end up 3rd slightly below those 2?
POSITIVES for both over Smith
-Better %
-Better Yards Per
Palmer and Smith about the same in TD throws and Sacks and fumbles.
Ponder and Smith about the same in running.
Ponder worse TD throws and fumbles and Sacks.
Palmer WAY worse at running. 3 yards all year.
Palmer and Ponder WAY worse at throwing INT 2.7x more than Smith.
The most easy and obvious adjustment would be for WR Drops.
The difference from best to worst ends up in almost 4 less points in completion %.
Drops are the only reason Palmer and Ponder are ahead of Smith in completion %. KC was bottom 5 while AZ and MIN were top 5.
It just doesn't make sense to not penalize hard for INTs. It was still a problem with the original Passer Rating.
W-L records Last 3 seasons top 14 guys in keeping INT% low.
124-62
121-82
128-69
That Win% is 10.2 Wins per season rate.
How QBs that were 5th from the bottom at giving the ball away were slightly better than 1 who was 3rd from the top seems crazy to me.
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