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Comrade Crapski 10-21-2012 10:13 PM

Mitt's winning Ohio
 
Face the music, moonbats. America is sending the communist racebaiter back under his rock in Chicago.

Two new Ohio polls came out yesterday after my Ohio post, from from Gravis Marketing and PPP, both of which point to a razor-thin race in the most coveted swing state. A closer look at each poll shows just how much Romney has gained since the debates, and why he would be absolutely thrilled if these polls were accurate on Election Day.

The poll from Gravis Marketing shows Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent. But that’s as good as it gets for Obama. Among the most interesting tidbits from the poll:

Romney leads Obama by 19 percent among independents, 52–33, and holds 92 percent of his base compared to Obama’s 87 percent. Obama is underwater in job approval, 44–50, and independents disapprove of him overwhelmingly, 31–58. And the poll has a Democratic advantage of 9 percent, which is a 4 percent jump from 2008 — no one believes that Democrats can match their 2008 turnout advantage, let alone almost double it.

PPP (a Democratic firm) released their new poll yesterday showing Obama only up one point, 49 to 48. Just a week ago PPP had the race at 51–46 for Obama. But the four-point gain for Romney is even more impressive when you look at the poll’s findings:

This week’s poll has a Democrat sample advantage of 8 percent; last week’s advantage was 4. Romney gained four points on Obama in a week despite the sample’s having four percentage points more Democrats. Romney leads with independents by 7 percent, up from a 5 percent last week. Obama’s approval is underwater at 48–50, and independents disapprove of him by a 41–54 margin. Last week Obama was in positive approval ground at 50–48, and independents disapproved by a much smaller 45–50 margin. Romney’s favorability has gone from a minus-6 margin last week (45–51) to a plus-2 this week (49–47). Trust on the economy went from Obama plus-5 last week (51–46) to plus-4 in Romney’s direction this week (51–47). Independents jumped from Romney plus-5 last week to Romney plus-15 this week.

These two polls highlight what many saw in the second debate: Romney may have lost the overall debate, but he won handily on the issues of the economy, debt, and taxes. While Democrats were riding high this week after Obama narrowly won the face-off, Romney was quietly solidifying support from voters by commanding the issues that matter most. Based on these two polls, the only way Obama can win Ohio is if he finds a way to greatly surpass 2008 turnout with Democrats, which at the moment seems like an impossible task. If these polls hold, it won’t be long before the state Romney was declared dead in knocks down the last pillar of inevitability that Obama has left.

— Josh Jordan is a small-business market-research consultant. You can follow him on Twitter @Numbersmuncher.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner...ar-josh-jordan

SNR 10-22-2012 07:37 AM

We'll see how the other polls go. If true, that's pretty remarkable. Props to Romney for turning this election his way.

Direckshun 10-22-2012 08:15 AM

Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

mikey23545 10-22-2012 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun (Post 9037926)
Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

LMAO

theelusiveeightrop 10-22-2012 09:07 AM

I miss Walter Cronkite.

ROYC75 10-22-2012 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun (Post 9037926)
Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

Sure, they will after the election too, denial is in the Obots.

patteeu 10-22-2012 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun (Post 9037926)
Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

Nate Silver calculates that there's a 98% chance that Barack Obama will close gitmo by election day. It's math so it must be right.

Cave Johnson 10-22-2012 10:06 AM

Charles Pierce has a phrase to describe the closeness of this election, the margin of chicanery.

We're definitely in that margin.

HonestChieffan 10-22-2012 10:26 AM

Dan Rather says 'pubs could steal Ohio......old moonbat

El Jefe 10-22-2012 10:34 AM

Well Romney has my vote and just about everybody in my family as well!

Bump 10-22-2012 10:45 AM

do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.

LiveSteam 10-22-2012 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump (Post 9038296)
do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.

I see what you did there.& its confusing me.

Cave Johnson 10-22-2012 10:49 AM

Quinnipiac/CBS has Obama up 5, ftr.

KC native 10-22-2012 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cave Johnson (Post 9038310)
Quinnipiac/CBS has Obama up 5, ftr.

That one data point doesn't fit their preconceived notions. Some Obama staffer must have engaged in a conspiracy to rig the poll.

HonestChieffan 10-22-2012 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump (Post 9038296)
do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.


We have one now who thinks he already is


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