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Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:30 AM

Smart People: Help me do math homework
 
How would a person begin to answer this problem?

Quote:

What mix or set of mixes of these individual assets will provide a 6.5% return?

Name
Expected Return
Holding 1
8.50%
Holding 2
9.20%
Holding 3
3.10%
Holding 4
4.80%


Dayze 02-20-2013 11:31 AM

If I could, I would.

but since I can't....

Poop.

Old Dog 02-20-2013 11:36 AM

Would you not have to know the amount to be invested first?

Old Dog 02-20-2013 11:40 AM

Investing in 50% of the 8.5%, 20% of the 9.2 and 30% of the 3.1 would give you a 6.82% projected return....is that what you're after?

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Dog (Post 9418881)
Would you not have to know the amount to be invested first?

Well, we can make up any number. Let's say I have $100K.

seclark 02-20-2013 11:41 AM

Don't forget to carry the naught.
Sec

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Dog (Post 9418899)
Investing in 50% of the 8.5%, 20% of the 9.2 and 30% of the 3.1 would give you a 6.82% projected return....is that what you're after?

Mostly I'm trying to figure out how you came up with that answer, and how I can come up with other answers.

Canofbier 02-20-2013 11:43 AM

Unless this is multiple choice or there are at least three more constraints (equations), I'm pretty sure there is more than one solution to this problem. As it is, this is all we have to work with:

A(1.085)+B(1.092)+C(1.031)+D(1.048)=1.065

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Canofbier (Post 9418912)
Unless this is multiple choice or there are at least three more constraints, I'm pretty sure there are an infinite number of solutions to this problem. As it is, this is all we have to work with:

A(1.085)+B(1.092)+C(1.031)+D(1.048)=1.065

That's right, there are infinite number of solutions. I want to put together at least 5 options.

Old Dog 02-20-2013 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418904)
Well, we can make up any number. Let's say I have $100K.

Yeah, I guess that was not relevant.....I should have left it to the smart people.

Frosty 02-20-2013 11:45 AM

Cheater!

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Canofbier (Post 9418912)
Unless this is multiple choice or there are at least three more constraints (equations), I'm pretty sure there is more than one solution to this problem. As it is, this is all we have to work with:

A(1.085)+B(1.092)+C(1.031)+D(1.048)=1.065

So now I just get to plug in numbers for A, B, C, and D?

Canofbier 02-20-2013 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418918)
That's right, there are infinite number of solutions. I want to put together at least 5 options.

Okay, then go to this website and go wild filling in the letters in the equation I included.

Dayze 02-20-2013 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seclark (Post 9418905)
Don't forget to carry the naught.
Sec

ROFL

Canofbier 02-20-2013 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418924)
So now I just get to plug in numbers for A, B, C, and D?

Yep. If you want a discrete solution, fill in 3 of them and leave the fourth as a variable, and Wolfram will calculate it.

Old Dog 02-20-2013 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418908)
Mostly I'm trying to figure out how you came up with that answer, and how I can come up with other answers.

Hell, maybe I'm oversimplifying it (aka completely ****ing it up)

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Canofbier (Post 9418933)
Yep. If you want a discrete solution, fill in 3 of them and leave the fourth as a variable, and Wolfram will calculate it.

How does it feel to be smart? Is it a burden at times?

Ace Gunner 02-20-2013 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frosty (Post 9418922)
Cheater!

this!:)

DaKCMan AP 02-20-2013 11:52 AM

There are multiple solutions, but a mix of:

1 - 0.575262544
2 - 0
3 - 0.252042008
4 - 0.172695448

Gives an ER of 0.065.


Solver is your friend. You have 4 unknowns, 2 equations, and conditions on the 4 unknowns.

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP (Post 9418951)
I'm fairly certain there are multiple solutions, but a mix of:

1 - 0.575262544
2 - 0
3 - 0.252042008
4 - 0.172695448

Gives an ER of 0.065.

Did you figure that out doing the A(1.085)+B(1.092)+C(1.031)+D(1.048)=1.065 or did you use another method?

DaKCMan AP 02-20-2013 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418954)
Did you figure that out doing the A(1.085)+B(1.092)+C(1.031)+D(1.048)=1.065 or did you use another method?

That's the formula for expected return (you can also use the same formulat without the leading 1's, i.e. A(0.085) + B(0.092)...) and 1 of your two equations.

Your 2nd equation is A + B + C + D = 1.

Mike in SW-MO 02-20-2013 12:53 PM

You can use a mix of Investment 1 & I3 or I4 then a mix of I2 plus I3 or I4. That gives you 4 mixes. You can combine any of those solutions to make a fifth.
Use xI1 + (1-x)I3=.65 solve for x.

Substitute any 2 investment options above and below target.

prhom 02-20-2013 01:14 PM

It's just a question of weighted averages. You must have at least one of the investments that are higher than 6.5 and at least one of the investments that are less than 6.5. To actually solve this you need more information about total dollars invested, the maximum number of individual investments that can be made or a ratio of dollars invested between funds.

Coogs 02-20-2013 03:36 PM

If you just average your 4 percentages, you are close to begin with at 6.4%.

So let's say you invest $4000.

25%, or $1000, at each of the 4 rates....

1000 at 8.5% = 85.00
1000 at 9.2% = 92.00
1000 at 3.1% = 31.00
1000 at 4.8% = 48.00

for a total of 256.00.

256.00/4000 = .064 = 6.4%

260.00/4000 = .065 = 6.5%

So therefore you need to find a way to get $4.00 more back on you investment.

I'm going to use the 9.2% and the 4.8% and the 1000.00 at each rate

We made 140 dollars at those two rates combined. We need 144 dollars to get to 260 dollars.

X = amount invested at 9.2%
2000 - X = amount invested at 4.8%

.092X + .048(2000 - X) = 144.00
.092X + 96.00 - .048X = 144.00
.044X = 144.00 - 96.00
.044X = 48.00
X = 48.00/.044
X = 1090.91


2000 - 1090.91 = 909.09

What percent of 1000 is 1090.91?

109.1%

109.1% of your original investment, which was 25%, is

25 times 1.091 = 27.275

What percent of 1000 is 909.09?

90.9%

90.9% of you original investment, which was 25%, is

25 times .909 = 22.725

So, your your percentages to be invested at each rate to give you a 6.5% return...

25% of your money at 8.5%
25% of your money at 3.1%
27.275% of your money at 9.2%
22.725% of your money at 4.8%

This is just one solution, but it will work for any amount that you choose to invest.

Dayze 02-20-2013 03:36 PM

reading through this thread makes me realize how stupid I am.

Saul Good 02-20-2013 03:47 PM

You're making this too hard. You don't have to blend all four. It's a lot easier to blend 2 and put it into a simple algebraic equation.

For example, you can use holdings 1 (x) and 3 (y).

x(8.5) + y(3.1) = 6.5% is your equation.

Now, you have to express x in terms of y. Because x+y= 100% (1.00) of your investment, x=1.00-y

Now, you re-write the equation with only the y variable:

(1-y)(8.5)+y(3.1)=6.5

Do the multiplication:

8.5-8.5y+3.1y=6.5

Simplify further

8.5-5.4y=6.5

Subtract 6.5 from both sides of the equation

2-5.4y=0

Add 5.4y to both sides

2=5.4y

Divide both sides by 5.4 to solve for y

.37=y

37% of your investment should be in y. The rest (1-y) should be in x.

Check your work: .37(.031)+.63(.085)=.065

Jenson71 02-20-2013 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dayze (Post 9419607)
reading through this thread makes me realize how stupid I am.

Especially Coog and Saul Good. Give me a history book, and I'll have that subject mastered. Give me a few numbers, and I'll start to sweat.

Sorter 02-20-2013 03:54 PM

Yikes.

Dayze 02-20-2013 03:56 PM

no joke there.
my wifre is a wiz at math; but hates history.

I k now enough math do do my taxes and balance a checkbook.

Dartgod 02-20-2013 03:58 PM

The answer is....


4?

Dayze 02-20-2013 04:02 PM

The answer you're looking for is:
Nicaragua

Sorter 02-20-2013 04:11 PM

The answer is:

on Near RT Zip- Lucky 860 H Shoot Swing "zorro", your first progression is H, followed by Z and Y. If M OL, X is first read.

Thig Lyfe 02-20-2013 04:18 PM

Just write "CASH RULES EVERYTHING AROUND ME CREAM GET THE MONEY DOLLAR DOLLAR BILL Y'AAAALLLLLL"

Jenson71 02-20-2013 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thig Lyfe (Post 9419754)
Just write "CASH RULES EVERYTHING AROUND ME CREAM GET THE MONEY DOLLAR DOLLAR BILL Y'AAAALLLLLL"

Cak'n padna?

Nickel D 02-20-2013 04:37 PM

My name is Leonard Cooper (formerly Leon Sandcastle) and my response is:

"Who is some guy in Normandy. But I just won $75,000!"

Pepe Silvia 02-20-2013 04:45 PM

God I hated math, my worst subject.

Coogs 02-20-2013 07:56 PM

La l,

I had to rush off this afternoon before I could really finish some details. Hope it makes more sense now. The solution I gave you is just one of many, but it will work for any amout of money that you would choose to invest.

Bowser 02-20-2013 08:11 PM

Whatever you do, don't let the legbreakers find out you're skimming off the top.

cdcox 02-20-2013 08:14 PM

This is a stupid problem. Why would you want less than the maximum expected rate of return?

Now a more interesting question would be to develop a portfolio that maximizes the rate of return while mitigating risk. To properly answer this question we would need to know the uncertainty or expected variance of each of the investments. Also, we need to know the extent to which the various holdings are correlated with one another. We could then present various portfolios match the career stage and risk tolerance of an individual investor. Do you have a problem like that?

DaKCMan AP 02-20-2013 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9420457)
This is a stupid problem. Why would you want less than the maximum expected rate of return?

Now a more interesting question would be to develop a portfolio that maximizes the rate of return while mitigating risk. To properly answer this question we would need to know the uncertainty or expected variance of each of the investments. Also, we need to know the extent to which the various holdings are correlated with one another. We could then present various portfolios match the career stage and risk tolerance of an individual investor. Do you have a problem like that?

You somewhat answered your own question: the risk necessary to earn a greater expected return may be too high for an investor. That is why, with the other information you mentioned, one would find the efficient frontier and invest at the defined level of risk. I'm certain whatever class this is for they are building up to that analysis.

cdcox 02-20-2013 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP (Post 9420465)
You somewhat answered your own question: the risk necessary to earn a greater expected return may be too high for an investor. That is why, with the other information you mentioned, one would find the efficient frontier and invest at the defined level of risk. I'm certain whatever class this is for they are building up to that analysis.

Knowing La Lit, I'm pretty sure its not. He's a word geek, not a numbers geek.

DaKCMan AP 02-20-2013 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9420476)
Knowing La Lit, I'm pretty sure its not. He's a word geek, not a numbers geek.

Then I agree that it's a pointless assignment.

KC Jones 02-20-2013 08:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9418908)
Mostly I'm trying to figure out how you came up with that answer, and how I can come up with other answers.

not 100% certain, but I think he used math.

Coogs 02-20-2013 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 9419644)
You're making this too hard. You don't have to blend all four. It's a lot easier to blend 2 and put it into a simple algebraic equation.

For example, you can use holdings 1 (x) and 3 (y).

x(8.5) + y(3.1) = 6.5% is your equation.

Now, you have to express x in terms of y. Because x+y= 100% (1.00) of your investment, x=1.00-y

Now, you re-write the equation with only the y variable:

(1-y)(8.5)+y(3.1)=6.5

Do the multiplication:

8.5-8.5y+3.1y=6.5

Simplify further

8.5-5.4y=6.5

Subtract 6.5 from both sides of the equation

2-5.4y=0

Add 5.4y to both sides

2=5.4y

Divide both sides by 5.4 to solve for y

.37=y

37% of your investment should be in y. The rest (1-y) should be in x.

Check your work: .37(.031)+.63(.085)=.065

That's all good if he is allowed to only use 2 of the 4 options. But if he is required to use all 4 of the percentages listed, he better go with something like along the lines I provided for him.

EDIT: We are essentially doing the same thing... I just eliminated 2 of the options by giving each a 25% value. Didn't mean to come across as my way was better Saul Good! Hope you didn't take it that way.

KC native 02-20-2013 09:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP (Post 9420465)
You somewhat answered your own question: the risk necessary to earn a greater expected return may be too high for an investor. That is why, with the other information you mentioned, one would find the efficient frontier and invest at the defined level of risk. I'm certain whatever class this is for they are building up to that analysis.

Ugh efficient frontier is such a flawed concept. They finally dropped it from the CFA curriculum.

Not saying your wrong, just nitpicking about my least favorite part of portfolio management theory in modern finance.

Jenson71 02-20-2013 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9420476)
Knowing La Lit, I'm pretty sure its not. He's a word geek, not a numbers geek.

Thank you for that. In nearly every situation, you would be correct. However, I'm taking Wealth Management this semester in a foray back to undergrad classes. Being my last semester at law school, I can afford to take a relaxed schedule. I wanted to take this course (along with espanol) because I know that clients will ask me about the issues in estate planning, and I wanted to have some idea of good financial investment options. I'm really enjoying it so far, but the minor amount of math involved is an obstacle, unfortunately. I can figure out basic things like what savings total at retirement is necessary for a person who wants xK per year to live on, but aside from that, I'm a fish out of water.

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC native (Post 9420691)
Ugh efficient frontier is such a flawed concept. They finally dropped it from the CFA curriculum.

Not saying your wrong, just nitpicking about my least favorite part of portfolio management theory in modern finance.

It seems like each investment firm develops their own efficient frontier portfolio.

Coogs 02-20-2013 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9421433)
Thank you for that. In nearly every situation, you would be correct. However, I'm taking Wealth Management this semester in a foray back to undergrad classes. Being my last semester at law school, I can afford to take a relaxed schedule. I wanted to take this course (along with espanol) because I know that clients will ask me about the issues in estate planning, and I wanted to have some idea of good financial investment options. I'm really enjoying it so far, but the minor amount of math involved is an obstacle, unfortunately. I can figure out basic things like what savings total at retirement is necessary for a person who wants xK per year to live on, but aside from that, I'm a fish out of water.

I hate to be an asshat, but given the limited amount of information you gave in the OP, it seems as if a few more thank you's besides the one you just gave would be in order.

Jenson71 02-20-2013 11:34 PM

Yes, thank you. Rep on the way. That was all the info I was given.

Turns out most students have some Solver program on Excel, which I've since added but have no idea how to use. So I'll probably be sticking with these formulas you and others have provided.

Coogs 02-20-2013 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by La literatura (Post 9421545)
Yes, thank you. Rep on the way. That was all the info I was given.

Turns out most students have some Solver program on Excel, which I've since added but have no idea how to use. So I'll probably be sticking with these formulas you and others have provided.

You're welcome! I realize the answer I gave you was pretty much basic algebra in step-by-step, but it will work for any amount of money you wish to invest.

Hope you get an A. :thumb:

cdcox 02-20-2013 11:45 PM

It's cool that you are stretching yourself trying to develop a working knowledge of something out of your comfort zone. I've always wanted to learn to play guitar or piano (music doesn't come easy for me), but my hands seem to be the fastest aging part of my body, so that isn't happening.

Saul Good 02-22-2013 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coogs (Post 9420522)
That's all good if he is allowed to only use 2 of the 4 options. But if he is required to use all 4 of the percentages listed, he better go with something like along the lines I provided for him.

EDIT: We are essentially doing the same thing... I just eliminated 2 of the options by giving each a 25% value. Didn't mean to come across as my way was better Saul Good! Hope you didn't take it that way.

If you have to use all four, simply divide the percentages in half, do the same thing for options 1 and 2, and add them together.

Standard algebra is really all that is needed here, and it's about a 30 second solution. I don't feel like math instructors do a good enough job of translating their teachings into practical applications. There really isn't any point in learning algebra if you don't know how to apply it. If you do, it's actually extremely useful and comes in handy a lot more often than most people probably realize.

Then, when you use it, people look at you like you just explained string theory even though you're just really busting out something you learned in 7th grade.


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