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-   -   Football Infographics: Every NFL Offense's Production, Visualized By Position (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=277020)

listopencil 10-04-2013 01:13 PM

Infographics: Every NFL Offense's Production, Visualized By Position
 
Instinctively, you know every team has strengths and weaknesses. You see it in the box scores and the advanced metrics, but when the teams line up, a shitty running back doesn't look impossibly different from Adrian Peterson. So, here's a visual aid. Every NFL offense, visualized by how each of the main offensive positions are playing.

Each circle in these charts represents how productive that position has been for a given team. We added up every qualifying player's DYAR at a given position—so you're not just looking at single players, but whole units. (LeSean McCoy is the single best running back, for example, but the Denver backs are a better unit.) Bigger circles mean more production. Red circles mean below replacement level play. So, a big red circle means that that position really sucks.

If you're unfamiliar, DYAR stands for Defense-Adjusted Yards Above Replacement. It's a Football Outsiders metric that compiles the total value a player generates over the course of a year, instead of the slightly better known DVOA. Broadly, we're using DYAR because we wanted to show how much production each team has gotten from each of its positions, not how well each player has played in whatever snaps he was on the field for. (DVOA is a rate stat, like the NBA's PER, meaning a highly productive five plays would set you ahead of league leaders. We aren't so interested in that here.)

The "defense-adjusted" in DYAR means that these numbers reflect the quality of opponents each offense played. The thing to note is that because we're only four weeks into the season, the opponent adjustment isn't really kicking in yet. It increases 10 percent every week, and is at full confidence by week 10. It's at 40 percent this week, which isn't the strongest, but is better than no adjustment.

The minimum qualifying criteria were 10 passes for quarterbacks, five targets for receivers, and six carries for running backs. DYAR was also useful here because we could combine rushing DYAR and passing DYAR for quarterbacks, rushing DYAR and receiving DYAR for running backs, etc. For the offensive line, we used adjusted line yards, which is a rushing metric, instead of pass protection. We did this because many of the passing stats, at least this early, seemed more predicated on a quarterback's ability to avoid sacks than we'd like, but we're open to suggestions.

We didn't do defense this time around, because, frankly, we didn't have the most compelling data to work with. We're going to see about getting something together for that.

Average Squad

Here's the NFL average for accumulated DYAR of a team's receivers, tight ends, running backs, and quarterbacks through Week 4, and the average adjusted yards gained by the offensive line:


http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/1924.../ku-xlarge.png


Every team rated:

http://regressing.deadspin.com/every...ion-1440409319

Sofa King 10-04-2013 01:16 PM

http://farm5.staticflickr.com/4083/5...d1d1be72_z.jpg

vailpass 10-04-2013 01:17 PM

I don't care to decipher this and will wait for CdCox to explain it...

listopencil 10-04-2013 01:18 PM

Oh, and this article may play out differently than you think. The Broncos are listed at #1. When compiling the best possible squad, it is composed almost entirely of Broncos with the exception of the TE group. Statistically they've had an impressive first four games of the season. It might surprise you to see the Chiefs listed at #11 though.

Direckshun 10-04-2013 01:19 PM

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/FMghvnqDhT8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

gblowfish 10-04-2013 01:19 PM

I hate charts and graphs. When's the quiz?

Imon Yourside 10-04-2013 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun (Post 10046533)
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/FMghvnqDhT8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

LMAO ya poor Sajak...he was ummmm....well...in shock almost.

vailpass 10-04-2013 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KILLER_CLOWN (Post 10046540)
LMAO ya poor Sajak...he was ummmm....well...in shock almost.

Naggers!

Bearcat 10-04-2013 01:25 PM

So, the Chiefs have a top 10 O-Line?



Holy shit...

http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/1926.../ku-xlarge.png

listopencil 10-04-2013 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vailpass (Post 10046530)
I don't care to decipher this and will wait for CdCox to explain it...

It's a complicated way of measuring the effectiveness of position groupings by team. They try to account for as many factors as possible but it is currently limited by small sample size.

The Franchise 10-04-2013 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun (Post 10046533)
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/FMghvnqDhT8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Fake.

listopencil 10-04-2013 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bearcat (Post 10046550)
So, the Chiefs have a top 10 O-Line?



Holy shit...

http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/1926.../ku-xlarge.png

KC is ranked #11 by groupings overall. Not bad at all with that stout Defense.

vailpass 10-04-2013 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by listopencil (Post 10046551)
It's a complicated way of measuring the effectiveness of position groupings by team. They try to account for as many factors as possible but it is currently limited by small sample size.

Thanks. The Z crit is everything, need bigger sample...

Bearcat 10-04-2013 01:28 PM

It would be interesting to see this for previous seasons, if for no other reason than to see if it supports the widely held opinion that offensive linemen win championships.

listopencil 10-04-2013 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bearcat (Post 10046562)
It would be interesting to see this for previous seasons, if for no other reason than to see if it supports the widely held opinion that offensive linemen win championships.

You can use the dropdown menu at the top of this page:

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/qb


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