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-   -   Royals *** Official 2017 Royals Offseason Repository (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=303381)

Bowser 11-05-2016 09:34 AM
I feel pretty good when I balance the checkbook and everything comes out even. No way am I going to attempt to calculate WAR, lol.

Infidel Goat 11-05-2016 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spott (Post 12528924)
Just don't bring Soria back.
He's guaranteed $17 million for the next two years. We can buy out the third remaining years for $1 million.

Better hope for a bounce back...

duncan_idaho 11-05-2016 09:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 12529036)
I'm prob more worried about the money than the odds. Example: let's suppose you sign Kris Medlen and there's a 50% chance he doesn't pitch for you. 10M x 50% = $5M expected loss. Or Holland at say 2/14: 50% chance you'll lose $7M.


The same odds for Duffy incur a massive 25M loss. I suppose the counter is you'll get a shitload of value for him the time he DOES play. And if he survives most of that time, you really come out ahead.


Strasburg and Harvey having issues this year really would worry me. They are young guys his age.
Strasburg's may be slightly related to TJ (flexor mass strain), but it isn't directly related. Harvey's is not related (Thoracic outlet).

Strasburg's delivery/motion would leave him more prone to an elbow injury than Duffy's, too. Stras has that dramatic inverted W in his motion. Duffy is more classic/smooth.

re: wRC... and here I thought I was the only person around here who ran statistical calculations long-hand.

Related note: Excel is your friend.

Munson 11-05-2016 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by C3HIEF3S (Post 12529683)
Never mind, I figured it out. For shits and gigs, I calculated Eric Hosmer's 2016 fWAR by hand. Fangraphs has him at -.2. My final figure came out to be -.1895 which is most likely just rounding errors if I had to guess. It was a fun way to see the inside of this stat.

As you can see, I took a shortcut when it came to BsR (part b on my sheet). Didn't feel like working the formulas for lgwSB (b2) and runCS (b3) when UBR, wSB, and wGDP were all right in front of me on Fangraphs. But for the most part, here is everything that goes into fWAR (I think):
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cwe01RXXgAANjPS.jpg


...is it March yet?
http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/...you-wizard.jpg

Kidd Lex 11-05-2016 10:11 AM
Duncan... the real reason we all log onto CP

lewdog 11-05-2016 04:40 PM
Duncan, what happened to Calixte?

Prison Bitch 11-05-2016 07:11 PM
Hoch shown the door

Jerok 11-05-2016 07:19 PM
Anybody watch the tv show "Pitch"? It's on Hulu. It's about this girl who is going to be the first female pitcher in the majors. Anyway, she makes the all-star game (on votes, not merit) and pitches to Perez who homers off of her. Even fake TV show home runs give me the Royals feel.

They showed the actual footage from the all-star game but just superimposed the girl pitcher instead of whoever it was (Cueto?). And now I want to see Perez back in the game!

Sure-Oz 11-07-2016 08:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerok (Post 12530235)
Anybody watch the tv show "Pitch"? It's on Hulu. It's about this girl who is going to be the first female pitcher in the majors. Anyway, she makes the all-star game (on votes, not merit) and pitches to Perez who homers off of her. Even fake TV show home runs give me the Royals feel.

They showed the actual footage from the all-star game but just superimposed the girl pitcher instead of whoever it was (Cueto?). And now I want to see Perez back in the game!
I've enjoyed it....but it's cause I'm a fan of Zack Morris. It's not a bad show though.

KChiefs1 11-07-2016 09:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerok (Post 12530235)
Anybody watch the tv show "Pitch"? It's on Hulu. It's about this girl who is going to be the first female pitcher in the majors. Anyway, she makes the all-star game (on votes, not merit) and pitches to Perez who homers off of her. Even fake TV show home runs give me the Royals feel.

They showed the actual footage from the all-star game but just superimposed the girl pitcher instead of whoever it was (Cueto?). And now I want to see Perez back in the game!


I haven't wanted to watch it but you just made me want to watch it now.




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Great Expectations 11-07-2016 09:46 AM
I didn't like how they selected an actor who throws like a girl. Why couldn't they get someone who can throw like an athlete? It's already hard enough to believe, that just makes it worse.

C3HIEF3S 11-07-2016 01:11 PM
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Greg Holland 88-91 during his workout.</p>&mdash; Eric Longenhagen (@longenhagen) <a href="https://twitter.com/longenhagen/status/795702395560857600">November 7, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

13 months post-TJ, you'd like to see velocity higher than that, correct? Isn't velocity usually quick to come back after rehab?

cabletech94 11-07-2016 01:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by C3HIEF3S (Post 12536590)
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Greg Holland 88-91 during his workout.</p>&mdash; Eric Longenhagen (@longenhagen) <a href="https://twitter.com/longenhagen/status/795702395560857600">November 7, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
bring him in for a look????

Nightfyre 11-07-2016 01:40 PM
Holland is done if he can't get the velocity up

tk13 11-07-2016 01:44 PM
Yeah that's not encouraging at all. He needs to at least be sitting in the mid 90s to be the guy he was before, even with his devastating slider.


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