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-   -   Chiefs A refresher course on Round 2 QBs (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=270336)

Hammock Parties 02-23-2013 06:43 PM

A refresher course on Round 2 QBs
 
Here is the list of QBs picked in the 2nd round from the beginning of time.


The breakdown out of 69 QBs


Winning records + at least 40 wins: 8 or 11.5%

Playoff winners: 11 or 15.9%

Playoff winners for the team that drafted them: 7 or 10.1%

Super Bowl qualifiers: 6 or 8.69%

Super Bowl winners: 3 or 4.34%

Super Bowl winners for the team that drafted them: 1 or 1.4%

The odds are not good.

Also I looked at 1st round QBs, and the odds basically double. If you pick a QB in the 1st round you basically have a 25% chance of him turning out to be at least Trent Green, i.e. several years of success (40+ wins) and/or a playoff win or two.

O.city 02-23-2013 06:44 PM

Every situation is different.

Hammock Parties 02-23-2013 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 9429432)
Every situation is different.

And every sperm is NOT sacred.

They get significantly LESS sacred after the 1st round.

O.city 02-23-2013 06:49 PM

But you can get one there.

RealSNR 02-23-2013 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 9429432)
Every situation is different.

I'd rather draft a player at #1 overall who has a 30% chance of becoming Aaron Rodgers than wait until the 2nd round and take a player who has a 50% chance of becoming Andy ****ing Dalton.

I really don't see any Colin Kaepernicks who will be available in the 2nd round of the boom/bust variety. I see a lot of flaccid, soft-dicked guys who might be Andy Dalton one of these days.

Continuing the 2011 metaphor, we should take the Cam Newton at #1 rather than assume Christian Ponder and Andy Dalton will be good enough to put this team over the top in a few seasons.

ChiefsCountry 02-23-2013 06:52 PM

The most mathetically way to win a Super Bowl is draft one yourself at number one. I don't see why its that ****ing hard to get that through idiot skulls.

bevischief 02-23-2013 06:54 PM

Some of you are going to have a nervous break down by the time the draft happens or worse.


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