Originally Posted by Pablo (Post 9469367)

You think y'all will be favored going into that game at Michigan?

And UNC has put it together as of late. They're not a team to be taken lightly. Not someone you'd want in your bracket as an eight seed.

Originally Posted by Buehler445 (Post 9469298)

I'm fully prepared to lose to Baylor. I know that is being pessimistic, and I'm not necessarily expecting it to happen, but as awful as Baylor has played, this will be the one game they pull their heads out.

Originally Posted by KCWolfman (Post 9469352)

I don't find either to be unlikely. While Michigan has home court they have more flaws than any other top ten team at this time. This is Crean's motivational moment. Indiana is the superior team.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469416)

Of course they're the superior team. But superior teams lose on the road all the time to teams that are nowhere near as good as Michigan. It's college basketball, home court advantage is immense. Considering Michigan hasn't lost at home all year, it's exactly what I'd call unlikely.


It sounds like you haven't watched UNC over the last month. They've been playing great basketball since Roy decided to go small. They haven't lost since they nearly beat Duke at Cameron in early February. When you consider that (+ the fact that Duke hasn't played a good road game all year against any kind of decent opposition), UNC is the favorite.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469454)

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebaske...s-grip-on-indy

I still don't think the committee will give Gonzaga and their weak schedule that kind of respect. They might be a #1 now, but not an overall #1. It's more likely going to be a power conference team.

Originally Posted by KCWolfman (Post 9469455)

The last line I saw was for Duke at 6.5. If they fell to the underdog line, they did so in the last 24 hours and I haven't received an update.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469472)

It would surprise me greatly if Duke was a 6 point favorite on the road against a team playing as well as UNC. Any idea where you saw that?



And yet they lost none of those games at home. Michigan is a completely different team at home, like most teams in college basketball. It's not exactly easy to walk into a top 10 team's building and win. You can count the number of times that happens in one NCAA season on one hand.

Originally Posted by KCWolfman (Post 9469471)

As far as North Carolina goes, it isn't the lineup. It is the fact that they haven't played a top 25 team in the last month. In fact, they have only beaten 1 top 25 team all year and that was to a weak UNLV team that has since fallen off the face of the earth.

Originally Posted by KCWolfman (Post 9469484)

Either Vegas Gaming or Odds Shark. I get updates from both.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469498)

No, it actually had a ton to do with the lineup. Check out this article on what they've done since Hairston was inserted and how it's completely changed the way they operate: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1...r-heels-season

They're winning games (both at home and on the road) that they would have lost in December. UNC was on the way out of the tournament a few months back, now they're looking like a real threat in the tournament to go a round or two.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469512)

There's a reason why Indiana is considered #1 in the country. That doesn't mean going to Michigan and winning is going to be easy or likely.

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 9469512)

I'm not seeing anything, but maybe I'm looking in the wrong place. FWIW, KP has Duke winning by 2 (and Vegas lines usually correspond quite closely to his system's projections).

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