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-   -   Football 538 Calls Tom Brady the 43rd Clutchest Postseason QB (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=289920)

KC native 01-13-2015 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JASONSAUTO (Post 11267147)
SAUTO aint never been a sucker.

I don't believe you.

notorious 01-13-2015 12:51 PM

ComoDragon

SAUTO 01-13-2015 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC native (Post 11267184)
I don't believe you.

and again no ****s were given.

Baby Lee 01-13-2015 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 (Post 11267157)
I agree.

So it's official, then.

Tom Brady has always been on better teams than Peyton Manning so we can no longer pretend that Tom only loses because he doesn't have enough weapons ... since his teams are always expected to win...and even with Matt Cassel, still expected to win half of the time in the most pressure packed games (playoff games) as proven by Nate Silver.

Whereas, without Peyton, his team would only be expected to win 1 out of every 3 times.

Who gives a shit about other teams.

How about we stop pretending that the Chiefs would 'rape faces' if the only thing we changed was some magical superstar QB we missed out on [Rodgers being the exception] or upgrading team deficiencies if a waste of team so long as Alex is our QB.

Just Passin' By 01-13-2015 12:53 PM

Poor Hootie. So pathetic...... LMAO

LoneWolf 01-13-2015 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 (Post 11267167)
Ok, fair.

So the same people, like Prison Bitch (and me), who put a high emphasis on WAR, it's fair to say that this is a pretty revealing article and it kind of dispels a few myths about Tom Brady, correct?

Or are we just going to pretend WAR is no longer a good metric whatsoever because I brought it up and it kind of painted a picture I've been trying to paint for like 10 years now?

I've never been a staunch proponent of WAR, but I understand why people use it. WAR has been around for a number of years and baseball in general is easier to analyze through statistics. The article you posted uses an equation made up by one guy who has an agenda.

PizzaDoughz 01-13-2015 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Just Passin' By (Post 11267191)
Poor Hootie. So pathetic...... LMAO

But he's talking about football! Doesn't matter that he's almost always wrong and admittedly said himself he's trolling

Hootie 01-13-2015 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneWolf (Post 11267194)
I've never been a staunch proponent of WAR, but I understand why people use it. WAR has been around for a number of years and baseball in general is easier to analyze through statistics. The article you posted uses an equation made up by one guy who has an agenda.

Nate Silver has an agenda?

That article actually had nothing to do with Peyton Manning or Tom Brady. Well, Peyton Manning a little bit.

I used his analysis to spawn this thread.

I found the WAR measurement to be interesting.

12.6 - 13.4
8 - 16

By that metric, replacement level QB is supposed to go 1-1 in the playoffs playing instead of Tom Brady and 1-2 in the playoffs playing instead of Peyton Manning.

Kinda dispels the notion Brady has never had enough weapons...

Unless you don't agree with WAR. I follow advanced statistics, Nate Silver is a highly respected advanced statistics guy ... so it's not gospel.

Pretty sure if it said something like :

Tom Brady : 8 - 18
Peyton Manning : 12 - 12

everyone would be like "omg hahahahah omg Peyton hahahah omg so bad!"

But, instead, it painted a picture that Tom has been on better teams his whole career so now it's just a nonsense agenda.

YEP.

GOT IT.

NOT ENOUGH WEAPONS!

Hootie 01-13-2015 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PizzaDoughz (Post 11267200)
But he's talking about football! Doesn't matter that he's almost always wrong and admittedly said himself he's trolling

Dear guy no one has ever heard of:

I said, in one post, the THREAD TITLE was a TROLL meant to GARNER ATTENTION.

At no other point in this thread, other than the knive juggling post, was a trolling anyone.

I've tried to discuss the featured article on ESPN.com's fivethirtyeight written by Nate Silver.

But, instead, the usual suspects showed up to tell me I'm pathetic, which, is pretty hypocritical considering I can post this thread once a day and get 500 responses every single time by the same 5 guys.

All I want is REAL DISCUSSION!

Tom : 12.6 - 13.4
Peyton: 8 - 16

REPLACEMENT LEVEL QB

DISCUSS!

PLEASE!

FringeNC 01-13-2015 01:17 PM

Suffers from the same problem all QB metrics do: isolating the effect of QB play. Stats like adjusted yards per attempt are great at measuring the effectiveness of a team's passing attack, which is whole lot more than QB performance.

I don't see how the idea of a replacement level QB solves the issue at all. You're simply measuring the Green Bay (or whoever) passing attack versus the average passing attack of a team with an injured QB, not Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers is a great QB, not doubt, but his coach and GM are pretty good, too. Didn't Flynn set some club records a few years ago?

Donger 01-13-2015 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 (Post 11267235)
Dear guy no one has ever heard of:

I said, in one post, the THREAD TITLE was a TROLL meant to GARNER ATTENTION.

At no other point in this thread, other than the knive juggling post, was a trolling anyone.

I've tried to discuss the featured article on ESPN.com's fivethirtyeight written by Nate Silver.

But, instead, the usual suspects showed up to tell me I'm pathetic, which, is pretty hypocritical considering I can post this thread once a day and get 500 responses every single time by the same 5 guys.

All I want is REAL DISCUSSION!

Tom : 12.6 - 13.4
Peyton: 8 - 16

REPLACEMENT LEVEL QB

DISCUSS!

PLEASE!

You really shouldn't be surprised that if you cover yourself with shit, people will tell you smell, Hootie. That doesn't make it a good thing.

LoneWolf 01-13-2015 01:18 PM

Hootie, when posters say that Brady hasn't had the same caliber of weapons as Manning, they are talking about offensive weapons. If you want to include their defenses, fine, but you are arguing with yourself when you choose to do that. Nobody in their right mind is saying Manning has had the same type of defenses on his teams that Brady has.

Hootie 01-13-2015 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneWolf (Post 11267241)
Hootie, when posters say that Brady hasn't had the same caliber of weapons as Manning, they are talking about offensive weapons. If you want to include their defenses, fine, but you are arguing with yourself when you choose to do that. Nobody in their right mind is saying Manning has had the same type of defenses on his teams that Brady has.

Weapons are weapons, bro. Tom has had better teams in more postseason games than Peyton, and it clearly isn't close

Hootie 01-13-2015 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donger (Post 11267240)
You really shouldn't be surprised that if you cover yourself with shit, people will tell you smell, Hootie. That doesn't make it a good thing.

Stop trolling me or I'll report you. I can't handle it.

Donger 01-13-2015 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 (Post 11267258)
Stop trolling me or I'll report you. I can't handle it.

I'm trying to help you.


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