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Latest update from the WVU Scout Board:
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The SEC is going to add schools that look like 13/14 teams in the league (land grant-style, large public universities with rich alumni bases and a large interest in football). A private school with pathetic football support, facilities and history, and a small, basketball-centric alumni base is not going to rev the expansion engine. Kentucky will allow Louisville in no more than Florida will allow Florida State in or South Carolina will allow Clemson in. To speak nothing of the SEC pursuing a city-based school. Hell, if the SEC is going to chase a private school, there are a lot of roads it would approach before going to Duke. Even SMU would be more attractive. |
Here's a nice summary of the stalemate:
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SEC media days have been insane. Sweet pic of the trophy though:
http://vmedia.rivals.com/uploads/898/F902225.jpg |
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again, VT & NC State > NC and Duke. Fit's better.
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This thread is hilarious
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The ACC needs to just position itself as a basketball conference. For that matter, in hockey a lot of schools don't play in the conference they do for other sports. Why not let basketball teams at schools where the football program is shite seek a good basketball conference? |
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As a KU fan l, Intialy felt MUs move to sec was a bad won for several reasons: its outside of the Midwest, different culture, and it ruined the KU MU rivalry.Now , not making that move would of have been stupid. It's all about schools positioning themselves, in a strong confrence. The eventual death of the NCAA as the governing body of colleget sports has started. The era of mega confrences operating outside of the NCAA and its ridiculous rule book is about to begin
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I am a Missouri fan. I am happy about the SEC move. It will be very good for the football program in recruiting, financially, and in positioning the football team to win a championship someday. It's not that we are happy the Big 12 lost 3 schools that were always in the top half in football. I think we'd have all liked it if the big 12 had treated everyone equally and if it would have been too good a situation to leave. Unfortunately it wasn't. You are right about re-alignment. The winners here are the schools already in the SEC, B10, and (to a lesser extent) the PAC because those schools are already in a top football conference and the top conferences got more powerful. The losers are everyone else. The traditional conferences, geographic rivalries, history. Missouri is one of the very few schools that are winners here, so I like it that way. But the rest of the area schools were hurt by realignment so I don't love the situation because of that. It's sort of like your parents moving out of their old neighborhood that deteriorated. They hate to leave all the memories and their home behind even though there are nothing but positives in it, outside of sentimentals. It's too bad money caused it all, but it has been brewing. College football never adjusted to the changes the invention of cable TV brought. Now it has. |
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I don't know that Duke will get those eyeballs to turn on the SEC, though. I think it more a ruse to shake NC St. loose. The State of North Carolina's BOR is like a 12 member panel, and NC St only has four votes on that panel. So even if their wish was to bolt for the SEC, they might have serious political roadblocks to making that happen.
Duke, OTH, is a private institution. If the SEC can bluff negotiations with Duke convincingly enough, it might move the NC BOR to allow each school to seek their best opportunity away from a sinking ACC. I don't think that happens unless FSU announces they are going to the B12 and VPI says it is going to the SEC. Since FSU seems concerned about going to the B12 without a dance partner, and the B12 is still waiting on ND to commit to something (NBC, B12, ACC, etc.), there is an effective logjam. The one with the most cause to try and break that logjam is the SEC because they hate 16 and want a network. Since none of us know exactly how much a Duke membership would help/hurt that network, its hard to say how serious the SEC is, which is exactly what they want, uncertainty in all the other players. |
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NC St is the football program and regaining their basketball prominence, and that would appeal to the SEC. NC St will draw enough of the interest in North Carolina to make it worthwhile unlike the crapshoot with Duke. I think the SEC would prefer UVA and UNC, but UVA is even more snobbey than UNC, so they focused on the better football school in VPI. They'll probably do the same in North Carolina. |
On the B12 side of things, ESPN has a limited number of slots for their programming and will not make bigger payouts, per team, past 12 schools. They'll match whatever past 12 schools, as long as the quality is there. FOX is willing to pay more because they get all the extra inventory.
This is why the B12 is trying to make slots 11 and 12 the most value, because they set the bar for each subsequent school. This is why they have such a love affair for ND. FSU-ND gives them the best bang for the buck, and then each subsequent school can expect that figure when joining. The bowl payout money doesn't go up with the number of teams, so each time you add teams, you further dilute that pot, that is what makes the TV contract so valuable to the B12. By staying at 10, they get better shares. At 12, they might offset that with a CCG, but 11 and 12 will set the bar for any members beyond that. |
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The landscape is already crowded for football. Duke isn't going to pull TVs in that aren't already watching the SEC. It is very very very far fetched that the SEC would give Duke a minute's thought. |
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North Carolina is the prize that the SEC really wants. Close to 10 million in the state and its one of the biggest brands in college sports. University of Virginia is right behind them. Thats two they really want. Big Ten wants both of them as well. Virginia Tech is 1b though for the SEC.
I could see the Big Ten making a push for North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, and either Syracuse or Rutgers to go to 16. That would put a lot of money into the Big Ten network cable coffer. |
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What does UNC want to protect most if it feels he ACC can't be saved? They want to preserve Duke as a conference mate. Will the B!G take Duke to appease UNC? If they do, what is there next move, UVA or the NE markets? The SEC is the premiere sports conference, but overall, the B!G is the most desirable conference when you factor in academic benefits. That's why I think by even mentioning schools like Duke and Louisville, the SEC is just shaking the tree a bit to see what might drop. The SEC just needs some kind of movement and then take their chance in the ACC pinata scramble. |
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So, sure, the SEC could stand pat, but nobody seems happy with that. The teams aren't as important as the markets, right now, to the SEC. So, NC St and VPI aren't "fallbacks" in their eyes, they are strategies. They are multiple options to get what they really want. |
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It would help the Big 12 to add a football school in FSU, but it also would hurt them in the sense that blowing up the ACC would would make the SEC stronger. The Big 12 could add FSU but it's still in 4th place, and further behind the SEC than ever. I don't think expanding with one normally good football school and one normally crappy one is going to enhance the media deal much, either. |
Clearly KK has found Jesus regarding Mizzou's move to the SEC. The KU fans calling in are melting down over the fact that he has decided to continue to cover Mizzou. The guy on now sounds like he's about to cry.
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Phoenix tears. |
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Spots 1-4 are all that really matters as far as top conferences. The money isn't that great a difference. The SEC, B!G and PAC will always have the advantage of continuity and history. The B12 does just fine for itself on the field of competition and the decidedly smaller population profile.
So, this "distance" between 1 and 4 isn't really much of a brag. All the schools in the top 4 are going to get paid handsomely, then its just a matter of competition on the field/court. |
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http://mbd.scout.com/mb.aspx?s=159&f=4582&t=9153190&p=1 |
You know what should have happened? The good football schools east of the Rockies should have formed a new power conference, instead of being chained up to a conference that will hurt them of they ever wanted to be in consideration for a title berth.
I'm thinking of Clemson, FSU, NC State, the Virginia schools, WV, Texas, the Oklahoma schools, Missouri, A&M, Nebraska a few years ago. They could have had a start on a conference on par with the SEC and Big Ten in terms of strength of schedule and footprint, and dollars. It could have preserved at least some long-standing series and gained a lucrative TV deal, and these teams wouldn't have weak schedules hurting their title hopes at times, like they may in the conference where they are now. As a Missouri fan, I will miss the primary football rival in recent years, in Nebraska. The SEC is better for Missouri, but this new conference could have been good too. |
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Virginia Virginia Tech NC State That's the order, and there is a huge gap between each. |
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The only discussion in the B12 right now is do we expand, and if so, by how much with whom. The B12 is actually very profitable with 10. Now, what happens if there is no movement and the ESPN contract is not signed? That could open the B12 up for other bidders. That's why the extension hasn't been signed, It has nothing to do with discord, it has to do with maximizing the value. Once a contract is signed, its difficult to get it reopened, so the B12 is being pragmatic. |
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At least that's what we're being told... :hmmm: |
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It might be nothing, but Clemson is making "a major announcement" on Friday.
http://features.clemson.edu/inside-c...med-%20friday/ Also, in possibly unrelated news, today Clemson cancelled their series later this decade against Ole Miss and Oklahoma State. edit: Some Clemson people are thinking that it'll probably be to celebrate the success of a big fundraising drive to pay for something, so it probably is nothing. |
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They wanted UT and didn't get them. They wanted OU and did not get them I almost guarantee they would love to have ND but wont get them They want UNC, but most likely wont get them if the ACC dissolves They want UVA (see above comment) There are many schools out there who would love to go to the SEC, but let's not kid ourselves there are big fish they want but most likely wont land. |
Duke is garbage. NC St before them.
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Some of the scenarios being floated: Missouri (SEC has no withdraw penalties, would Mizzou be that bold if offered?) Virginia Tech (are the academics up to snuff and would this be preferable to UVA at a possible later date)? Pitt/Syracuse (they just settled to get out of the BEAST) Rutgers (exit penalties to consider) Maryland (are they worthy enough) Also, would they sit at 12 again, or use this to expand quickly to 16? |
Could the Big XII survive as an 8 team league if they lost, say, Tech and Iowa State?
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Now THIS is a good rumor. |
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PSU isn't going anywhere.
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PSU isn't going anywhere, and Mizzou wouldn't even answer the phone, anyway. That ship has sailed.
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