duncan_idaho |
05-20-2016 04:10 PM |
**** The Official Royals vs. White Sox Game day Thread****
Quote:
Originally Posted by C3HIEF3S
(Post 12238908)
So taking a quick look at Quintana's numbers compared to last year specifically:
his GB% is down to 39.6% from 47.1% from last season and his flyball% is up to 36.1% compared to 29.7% last year. Digging a little deeper, it seems odd considering that he is throwing his sinker 13% more than he was using it at the end of last season (9/2015: 10.8%, 5/2016: 23.9%). Doesn't really make sense to me. Or are these figures not drastic enough to be weary of?
On top of that, with the increased flyball rate, his HR/FB rate is way down from last year and his career norms and his xFIP doesn't like it (3.49 compared to an ERA of 1.54 and FIP of 2.19).
Quintana's HR/FB rate in 2015 was 8.6% and so far in 2016 it is a quite-minute 1.9%
Seems pretty odd considering the increase in flyballs, right? Or should we let sample size increase before making any judgments?
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I would expect that to normalize, even if he somehow does it for a whole year.
It's possible the uptick in velo is causing more weak contact and popups. It's also likely summer at the Cell will even the rate out.
10 percent is league average. 8.5 percent is really good. 1.5 percent is unsustainable.
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