Trent Dilfer won a SB as well, whether he deserved to or not makes little difference. My math may be off, but 4 SB winners from the Top Ten in 20 years = 25%. Odds are better than what we have had, but 75% of SB winners in the last 20 years were not top ten picks. Flame away.

More SB winners have come from the first round, than the rest of the places to get a QB combined.


First round QB's=58%
Rounds 2-7, UDFA's=42%

Newton.

I refuse to participate until the percentiles reflect reality.

You mean instead of deciles? Okay, here you go.

96th percentile
Peyton Manning
93rd percentile
Donovan McNabb
90th percentile
Steve McNair
87th percentile
Eli Manning
84th percentile
Drew Bledsoe
81st percentile
Robert Griffin III
78th percentile
Philip Rivers
75th percentile
Matthew Stafford
71st percentile
Matt Ryan
68th percentile
Cam Newton
65th percentile
Andrew Luck
62nd percentile
Michael Vick
59th percentile
Carson Palmer
56th percentile
Kerry Collins
53rd percentile
Trent Dilfer
50th percentile
Alex Smith
46th percentile
Sam Bradford
43rd percentile
Jake Locker
40th percentile
Byron Leftwich
37th percentile
David Carr
34th percentile
Vince Young
31st percentile
Tim Couch
28th percentile
Ryan Tannehill
25th percentile
Mark Sanchez
21st percentile
Blaine Gabbert
18th percentile
Rick Mirer
15th percentile
Joey Harrington
12th percentile
Heath Shuler
9th percentile
Matt Leinert
6th percentile
Akili Smith
3rd percentile
Jamarcus Russell
0th percentile
Ryan Leaf

So you're saying Jamaarcus Russel was better than Ryan Leaf ??

It's really hard to say how anybody will do at QB next year without knowing who'll be on the field with them. Is Bowe here? Will Baldwin finally progress? Is Breaston playing? Who are the tight ends?

I could see anything from a Peyton Manning rookie year (@ 3750 yards, 25 TDs, 25 INTs) to a Mark Sanchez rookie year (@ 2500 yards, 15 TD, 20 INT). I would not expect Robert Griffin stats from anybody, he's just crazy in terms of completion percentage for a rookie (66% right now) along with his 18/4 TD/INT ratio. Assuming he can play the rest of the year he'll end up with probably 3500 yards, which is rookie Peyton Manning production but with a much, much higher completion percentage and much lower INT%. And that to me is a bit much to expect. Ditto for Andrew Luck's yardage numbers this year (he'll be over 4000 - although his comp % isn't that great).

Median, I guess would be something like 3250 yards, 20 TD, 20 INT. Which would be the best QB play we've seen since Trent Green and probably enough to get the team in danger of 8-8, maybe even talking playoffs.

NO MATT BARKLEY OR ANY MORE USC QB'S PERIOD!!! THEY SUCK IN THE NFL

This....There's deffinatly a pattern of failure there

Hell of a gig for those guys, not too big of shoes to fill as of recently...

you do realize all the guys in the 50th percintile are better on paper than most of the guys in the 70th percintile.

lol

Where's jay cutler?

Edit:Not in the top ten, that's where. Sorry.

Carson Palmer was pretty good pre knee injury.